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Premier League

Referee: A Madley

Fulham

T U T S T

2–3

Full-time

Everton

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

13%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 57%

38%

75%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 17. · Everton 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Chelsea	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Leicester	8	6	0	2	+9	18
4	Liverpool	8	5	2	1	+2	17
5	Southampton	8	5	1	2	+4	16
6	Aston Villa	8	5	0	3	+8	15
7	Everton	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Crystal Palace	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Man United	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Wolves	8	4	1	3	-1	13
11	Man City	8	3	3	2	-1	12
12	Arsenal	8	4	0	4	-1	12
13	West Ham	8	3	2	3	+4	11
14	Newcastle	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Leeds	8	3	1	4	-3	10
16	Brighton	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Fulham	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	West Brom	9	0	3	6	-12	3
19	Burnley	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Sheffield United	8	0	1	7	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Southampton	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Everton	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Crystal Palace	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	West Ham	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Aston Villa	5	2	0	3	+1	6
10	Leicester	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Newcastle	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Man City	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Man United	5	1	1	3	-7	4
16	Fulham	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Brighton	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	West Brom	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Sheffield United	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Aston Villa	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Man United	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Man City	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Southampton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Leeds	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Everton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Wolves	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	-3	5
16	West Ham	4	1	1	2	+1	4
17	Burnley	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Fulham	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	West Brom	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Sheffield United	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.