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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
6–0
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
13%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
43%
63%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
3,4
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
22 Shots 2
13 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 14. · Den Haag 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 9 8 0 1 +32 24
2 Vitesse 9 7 1 1 +12 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 6 1 1 +14 19
4 Twente 8 5 2 1 +12 17
5 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 +10 17
6 Heerenveen 8 5 1 2 +5 16
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 -1 14
8 AZ Alkmaar 7 2 5 0 +6 11
9 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
10 Zwolle 9 1 5 3 -5 8
11 Willem II 9 2 2 5 -8 8
12 Heracles 9 2 2 5 -9 8
13 VVV Venlo 9 2 2 5 -14 8
14 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 -8 5
15 Waalwijk 8 1 2 5 -10 5
16 Den Haag 8 1 1 6 -12 4
17 FC Emmen 8 0 3 5 -10 3
18 For Sittard 8 0 3 5 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Den Haag
Bryan Smeets 🟨
24′
24′
🟨 Shaquille Pinas
1–0 L. Thy
D. Abels
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Philipp
↦ R. Morrison
2–0 S. Mijnans
M. Pinto
53′
3–0 A. Harroui
B. Smeets
56′
4–0 L. Thy
D. Duarte
59′
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
68′
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ A. Harroui
68′
72′
🔁 Pascu
↦ I. Elmkies
72′
🔁 A. Ćatić
↦ V. Besuijen
72′
🔁 J. Arweiler
↦ N. Karelis
M. Engels 🔁
↦ L. Thy
73′
D. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
73′
79′
🟨 Pascu
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ M. Heylen
79′
5–0 M. Engels
80′
6–0 M. Engels
85′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 M. Okoye G
3 B. Vriends D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
11 D. Duarte M
8 A. Harroui M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
Bench (11)
15 A. Meijers
16 L. Duarte
21 M. Engels
19 D. Gravenberch
14 T. Beugelsdijk
18 E. Emegha
30 M. Fabrie
13 W. Burger
12 Jeffry Fortes
17 R. Kharchouch
20 B. van Leer

Coach: H. Fraser

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 L. Koopmans G
15 D. Del Fabro D
43 L. Faye D
19 S. Pinas D
2 M. van Ewijk D
5 R. Morrison M
11 S. Bourard F
6 D. Rigo M
10 I. Elmkies M
17 N. Karelis F
20 V. Besuijen F
Bench (12)
18 D. Philipp
23 Pascu
34 A. Ćatić
9 J. Arweiler
21 B. Ould-Chikh
16 M. Mulder
29 M. Kramer
36 J. Mulder
25 J. Amofa
22 R. Zwinkels
8 J. Goossens
4 B. Kemper

Coach: R. Brood

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
4,06
B
4,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,20
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.