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Allsvenskan
Hammarby
U S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Malmo FF
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,8
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 48%
37%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
59%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hammarby 6. · Malmo FF 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 27 16 8 3 +31 56
2 Elfsborg 28 12 13 3 +11 49
3 Djurgarden 28 13 6 9 +15 45
4 Hacken 27 11 11 5 +13 44
5 Norrkoping 27 11 7 9 +11 40
6 Hammarby 27 10 10 7 +2 40
7 Orebro 28 11 6 11 -2 39
8 Mjallby 27 10 8 9 +1 38
9 AIK 28 10 8 10 -2 38
10 Sirius 27 9 10 8 -5 37
11 Ostersunds 27 8 9 10 -7 33
12 Varberg 27 8 7 12 -3 31
13 Goteborg 27 5 12 10 -12 27
14 Kalmar 28 5 9 14 -20 24
15 Falkenbergs 27 5 8 14 -17 23
16 Helsingborg 28 4 10 14 -16 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.