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Ligue 1

Referee: E Wattellier

Dijon

T U T U U

0–1

Full-time

Lens

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

40%

63%

Both score Ø 52%

40%

63%

Average goals

2,4

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dijon 20. · Lens 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	0	3	+22	24
2	Monaco	11	6	2	3	+4	20
3	Lille	10	5	4	1	+10	19
4	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+4	18
5	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Lyon	10	4	5	1	+7	17
7	Montpellier	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Metz	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Angers	10	5	1	4	-5	16
11	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Brest	11	5	0	6	-4	15
13	Lens	8	4	2	2	+0	14
14	Nantes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	St Etienne	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Reims	10	2	3	5	-2	9
17	Lorient	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Nimes	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Strasbourg	10	2	0	8	-9	6
20	Dijon	10	0	4	6	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	Brest	6	4	0	2	+2	12
4	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Lille	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Lens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Metz	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
11	Nantes	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Angers	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	St Etienne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Nimes	6	1	1	4	-7	4
18	Dijon	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Reims	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+10	12
3	Nice	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Angers	5	3	0	2	-2	9
5	Lille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Rennes	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Montpellier	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Reims	6	1	3	2	+2	6
9	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Metz	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Monaco	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Bordeaux	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Nantes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	St Etienne	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-3	3
19	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.