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Ligue 1
Referee: J Brisard
Montpellier
T U T S S
4–3
Full-time
Strasbourg
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
50%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–3

57% Possession 43%
21 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 7. · Strasbourg 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 11 8 0 3 +22 24
2 Monaco 11 6 2 3 +4 20
3 Lille 10 5 4 1 +10 19
4 Marseille 9 5 3 1 +4 18
5 Rennes 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Lyon 10 4 5 1 +7 17
7 Montpellier 10 5 2 3 +3 17
8 Nice 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Metz 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Angers 10 5 1 4 -5 16
11 Bordeaux 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Brest 11 5 0 6 -4 15
13 Lens 8 4 2 2 +0 14
14 Nantes 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 St Etienne 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Reims 10 2 3 5 -2 9
17 Lorient 10 2 2 6 -5 8
18 Nimes 10 2 2 6 -9 8
19 Strasbourg 10 2 0 8 -9 6
20 Dijon 10 0 4 6 -14 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Strasbourg
1–0 Pedro Mendes
T. Savanier
8′
2–0 A. Delort
S. Sambia
13′
19′
ℹ️ Habib Diallo
VAR: Goal cancelled
22′
K. Lala 2–1
Pedro Mendes 🟨
25′
26′
H. Diallo 2–2
3–2 A. Delort
M. Ristić
31′
45′
L. Ajorque 3–3
Half-time 3–3
49′
🟨 Jean-Eudes Aholou
Daniel Congré 🟨
54′
65′
🔁 D. Liénard
↦ J. Aholou
Yun Il-Lok 🔁
↦ S. Mavididi
66′
4–3 G. Laborde
A. Delort
68′
74′
🔁 M. Chahiri
↦ K. Lala
K. Dolly 🔁
↦ F. Mollet
82′
84′
🔁 K. Zohi
↦ A. Caci
84′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ J. Bellegarde
J. Chotard 🔁
↦ J. Ferri
88′
Hilton 🔁
↦ G. Laborde
89′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-3-3
1 J. Omlin G
3 D. Congré D
5 Pedro Mendes D
12 J. Ferri M
25 F. Mollet M
11 T. Savanier M
7 M. Ristić D
6 S. Sambia D
9 A. Delort F
10 G. Laborde F
19 S. Mavididi F
Bench (9)
24 Yun Il-Lok
20 K. Dolly
13 J. Chotard
4 Hilton
31 N. Cozza
26 S. Benchama
32 P. Škuletić
16 D. Bertaud
2 A. Souquet

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Strasbourg

4-4-2
16 E. Kawashima G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
10 K. Lala M
19 A. Caci D
2 M. Simakan D
6 J. Aholou M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
25 L. Ajorque F
28 H. Diallo F
Bench (9)
11 D. Liénard
21 M. Chahiri
20 K. Zohi
26 A. Thomasson
29 I. Aaneba
8 A. Waris
40 A. Pierre
23 L. Carole
14 S. Prcić

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,09
U
3,44
B
3,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.