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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Leeds

U T S T T

0–0

Full-time

Arsenal

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Premier League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

3,9

2,4

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

2,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

25 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Leeds 15. · Arsenal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Chelsea	9	5	3	1	+12	18
3	Leicester	8	6	0	2	+9	18
4	Liverpool	8	5	2	1	+2	17
5	Southampton	8	5	1	2	+4	16
6	Everton	9	5	1	3	+3	16
7	Aston Villa	8	5	0	3	+8	15
8	West Ham	9	4	2	3	+5	14
9	Crystal Palace	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Man United	8	4	1	3	-1	13
11	Wolves	8	4	1	3	-1	13
12	Man City	8	3	3	2	-1	12
13	Arsenal	8	4	0	4	-1	12
14	Newcastle	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Leeds	8	3	1	4	-3	10
16	Brighton	9	2	3	4	-2	9
17	Fulham	9	1	1	7	-9	4
18	West Brom	9	0	3	6	-12	3
19	Burnley	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Sheffield United	9	0	1	8	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Southampton	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Everton	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Crystal Palace	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	West Ham	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Aston Villa	5	2	0	3	+1	6
10	Leicester	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Newcastle	5	2	0	3	-5	6
13	Man City	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Man United	5	1	1	3	-7	4
16	Fulham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Brighton	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	West Brom	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Sheffield United	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Aston Villa	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Man United	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Everton	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Man City	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Southampton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Arsenal	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Leeds	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Wolves	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-3	6
15	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Liverpool	4	1	2	1	-3	5
17	Burnley	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Fulham	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	West Brom	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Sheffield United	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.