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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Watford
T T T T T
3–3
Full-time
Liverpool
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
2,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. May -17 Watford – Liverpool 0–1 6. Nov -16 Liverpool – Watford 6–1 8. May -16 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 20. Dec -15 Watford – Liverpool 3–0

Match report

Watford Liverpool
1–0 S. Okaka ⚽
J. Holebas
8′
Kiko Femenía 🔁
↦ D. Janmaat
18′
29′
⚽ S. Mané 1–1
E. Can
2–1 A. Doucouré ⚽
32′
37′
🟨 Sadio Mané
Half-time 2–1
Richarlison 🔁
↦ R. Pereyra
49′
55′
⚽ Roberto Firmino 2–2
57′
⚽ Mohamed Salah 2–3
Roberto Firmino
61′
🟨 Trent Alexander-Arnold
A. Gray 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
63′
81′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ Roberto Firmino
86′
🔁 J. Milner
↦ Mohamed Salah
88′
🟨 Simon Mignolet
91′
🔁 J. Gomez
↦ T. Alexander-Arnold
3–3 M. Britos ⚽
93′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Watford

4-3-3
1 Gomes G
4 Y. Kaboul D
25 J. Holebas D
3 M. Britos D
2 D. Janmaat D
8 T. Cleverley M
37 R. Pereyra F
14 N. Chalobah M
16 A. Doucouré M
7 N. Amrabat F
33 S. Okaka F
Bench (7)
21 Kiko Femenía
11 Richarlison
18 A. Gray
5 S. Prödl
23 B. Watson
29 E. Capoue
30 C. Pantilimon

Coach: Marco Silva

Liverpool

4-3-3
22 S. Mignolet G
6 D. Lovren D
32 J. Matip D
18 Alberto Moreno D
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
14 J. Henderson M
23 E. Can M
9 Roberto Firmino F
11 Mohamed Salah F
19 S. Mané F
Bench (7)
27 D. Origi
7 J. Milner
12 J. Gomez
1 L. Karius
16 M. Grujić
17 R. Klavan
29 D. Solanke

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.