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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
NAC Breda
T U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Den Haag
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 13. · Den Haag 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Vitesse 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 0 2 +3 12
6 Zwolle 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Ajax 6 3 1 2 +5 10
8 VVV Venlo 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
10 Groningen 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Heracles 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Excelsior 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -4 7
15 Twente 7 2 0 5 -1 6
16 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Willem II 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda Den Haag
Pablo Mari 🟨
25′
25′
🟨 Aaron Meijers
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Falkenburg
↦ B. Johnsen
Karol Mets 🟨
63′
Arno Verschueren 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 E. Hooi
↦ S. Becker
76′
🟨 Tyronne Ebuehi
Paolo Fernandes 🔁
↦ G. Korte
76′
76′
🔁 M. Lorenzen
↦ E. Duplan
80′
T. Beugelsdijk 0–1
A. El Khayati
R. Sprangers 🔁
↦ A. Verschueren
82′
T. Enevoldsen 🔁
↦ J. Horsfield
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-3-3
12 M. Birighitti G
3 M. Koch D
22 Pablo Marí D
69 Angeliño D
35 J. Horsfield D
5 K. Mets D
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
7 G. Korte F
9 T. Ambrose F
Bench (8)
11 Paolo Fernandes
45 R. Sprangers
87 T. Enevoldsen
1 A. Noppert
2 F. Sporkslede
18 B. Meijers
23 N. Bertrams
33 M. Reuvers

Coach: S. Vreven

Den Haag

4-3-3
22 R. Zwinkels G
8 A. Meijers D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 W. Kanon D
2 T. Ebuehi D
10 L. Immers M
23 A. El Khayati M
17 D. Bakker M
21 E. Duplan F
7 S. Becker F
9 B. Johnsen F
Bench (9)
30 E. Falkenburg
77 E. Hooi
33 M. Lorenzen
3 T. Meißner
6 D. Gorter
15 B. Kuipers
18 T. Coremans
20 N. Kuipers
27 T. David

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.