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Pro League
Beveren
T S S T T
1–3
Full-time
Gent
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
4,6
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
4,6
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Beveren 12. · Gent 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +12 13
3 Anderlecht 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
5 Gent 5 2 3 0 +4 9
6 Waregem 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
8 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 1 5 -4 7
10 Charleroi 5 1 3 1 -1 6
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Beveren 5 2 0 3 -7 6
13 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -9 6
14 Lokeren 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
16 Standard 5 1 0 4 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Gent
15′
S. Mitrović 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Jonathan Buatu 🔁
↦ V. Moren
57′
60′
🔁 T. Matton
↦ M. Simon
71′
T. Matton 0–2
S. Kums
72′
🔁 Rafinha
↦ T. Foket
L. Nabab 🔁
↦ M. Marić
75′
75′
L. Depoitre 0–3
D. Miličević
78′
🔁 N. Pedersen
↦ D. Miličević
D. Milosevic 🔁
↦ F. Vanzo
81′
1–3 D. Milosevic
S. Langil
89′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Beveren

1 L. Henkinet
4 V. Moren
2 E. Demir
21 L. Jans
10 M. Marić
7 S. Langil
8 G. Coulibaly
15 T. Moulin
9 Z. Gano
28 F. Vanzo
32 O. Myny
Bench (7)
5 Jonathan Buatu
97 L. Nabab
11 D. Milosevic
12 I. Sawaneh
18 M. Goblet
27 Hugo Sousa
55 Z. M'Sila

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
26 B. Raman
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
8 T. Matton
4 Rafinha
28 N. Pedersen
7 K. Coulibaly
17 H. Van der Bruggen
25 B. Vandenbussche
3 U. Vitas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.