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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Oostende
U S U S S
5–0
Full-time
Westerlo
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 9/14 matches
Win Ø 35%
56%
14%
Points per game
1,9
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 93%
100%
86%
Both score Ø 86%
100%
71%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 9. · Westerlo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Genk 15 7 3 5 +1 24
3 Kortrijk 14 6 5 3 +4 23
4 Standard 14 6 4 4 +9 22
5 Club Brugge 10 6 2 2 +10 20
6 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
7 Gent 9 6 1 2 +7 19
8 Mechelen 14 5 4 5 +2 19
9 Oostende 9 5 2 2 +4 17
10 Charleroi 9 4 4 1 +3 16
11 Eupen 15 4 3 8 -12 15
12 Beveren 14 3 4 7 -11 13
13 Lokeren 14 3 3 8 -8 12
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 3 2 9 -9 11
15 St Truiden 15 2 4 9 -9 10
16 Westerlo 14 2 3 9 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Westerlo
4′
🟨 Nemanja Miletic
1–0 A. Milić
F. Berrier
13′
Mathias Bossaerts 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
S. Siani 🔁
↦ M. Bossaerts
46′
2–0 A. Milić
49′
64′
🔁 R. Henkens
↦ D. Christensen
64′
🔁 E. Acolatse
↦ J. Molenberghs
Sébastien Siani 🟨
66′
K. Musona 🔁
↦ Y. El Ghanassy
72′
3–0 K. Musona
74′
76′
🟨 Benjamin De Ceulaer
4–0 L. Dimata
Fernando Canesin
77′
Z. Cyriac 🔁
↦ L. Dimata
78′
Antonio Milic 🟨
89′
5–0 Fernando Canesin
A. Marušić
91′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Oostende

4-4-1-1
12 D. Ovono G
18 D. Rozehnal D
44 A. Milić D
6 M. Bossaerts D
10 F. Berrier M
20 M. Jonckheere M
26 K. Vandendriessche D
55 Fernando Canesin F
77 A. Marušić M
8 Y. El Ghanassy M
19 L. Dimata F
Bench (7)
7 S. Siani
11 K. Musona
9 Z. Cyriac
14 N. Pedersen
30 J. Chopin
22 I. Conté
31 B. Godeau

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Westerlo

4-4-2
30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems
19 D. Christensen M
16 J. Mustoe M
73 N. Miletić D
24 M. Heylen D
22 G. Ruyssen D
8 M. Annys M
23 J. Molenberghs M
28 N. Rommens M
10 B. De Ceulaer F
Bench (7)
6 R. Henkens
9 E. Acolatse
1 K. Van Hout
17 K. Schuermans
26 Y. Verbist
29 Y. Buyens
33 M. Manias

Coach: J. Mathijssen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.