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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Eibar
U T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Celta
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,7
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
36%
45%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Eibar 11. · Celta 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 8 3 0 +21 27
2 Barcelona 12 8 2 2 +19 26
3 Sevilla 12 7 3 2 +5 24
4 Villarreal 11 6 4 1 +12 22
5 Ath Madrid 11 6 3 2 +17 21
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Ath Bilbao 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Celta 11 5 2 4 -3 17
9 Las Palmas 12 4 4 4 +1 16
10 Malaga 12 4 4 4 +1 16
11 Eibar 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Betis 12 4 2 6 -9 14
13 Alaves 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Espanol 11 2 6 3 -4 12
15 Valencia 11 3 1 7 -6 10
16 La Coruna 12 2 4 6 -9 10
17 Leganes 11 3 1 7 -13 10
18 Sp Gijon 11 2 3 6 -12 9
19 Osasuna 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Granada 11 0 4 7 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Celta
-5′
🟥 Sergio Álvarez
-4′
🟨 John Guidetti
-4′
🟥 Hugo Mallo
1–0 Fran Rico
9′
30′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
Half-time 1–0
53′
🔁 P. Hernández
↦ D. Wass
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ T. Inui
64′
67′
🔁 P. Sisto
↦ Josep Señé
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ Pedro León
71′
74′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Planas
Rubén Peña 🟨
75′
Iván Ramis 🟨
79′
Alejandro Gálvez 🔁
↦ Ramis
83′
86′
🟨 Rubén Blanco
86′
🟨 Facundo Roncaglia
90′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Asier Riesgo G
4 Ramis D
18 Arbilla D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
24 Adrián M
16 Fran Rico M
14 Dani García M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
11 Rubén Peña
5 G. Escalante
3 Alejandro Gálvez
1 Yoel
7 Ander Capa
22 Nano
25 Bebé

Coach: Mendilibar

Celta

4-2-3-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
24 F. Roncaglia D
2 Hugo Mallo D
3 Fontàs D
21 Planas D
20 Sergi Gómez D
18 D. Wass M
6 N. Radoja M
23 Josep Señé M
25 G. Rossi F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
8 P. Hernández
11 P. Sisto
9 J. Guidetti
1 Sergio Álvarez
5 M. Díaz
19 Jonny Castro
22 G. Cabral

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.