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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Anderlecht
T S S S T
7–0
Full-time
Royal Excel Mouscron
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

65% Possession 35%
20 Shots 4
11 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
16 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 10. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 11 9 0 2 +13 27
2 Gent 11 8 1 2 +12 25
3 Standard 16 7 4 5 +11 25
4 Kortrijk 16 6 6 4 +1 24
5 Genk 16 7 3 6 -5 24
6 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
7 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
8 Charleroi 11 6 4 1 +5 22
9 Mechelen 16 6 4 6 -2 22
10 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
11 Eupen 16 4 4 8 -12 16
12 Lokeren 16 4 3 9 -8 15
13 Beveren 16 3 5 8 -12 14
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 3 2 10 -11 11
15 St Truiden 16 2 4 10 -10 10
16 Westerlo 16 2 4 10 -21 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Jul -16 Royal Excel Mouscron – Anderlecht 1–2 5. Mar -16 Royal Excel Mouscron – Anderlecht 2–1 1. Nov -15 Anderlecht – Royal Excel Mouscron 2–0

Match report

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 Ł. Teodorczyk ⚽
2′
2–0 S. Hanni ⚽
M. Bruno
21′
2–1 M. Delač ⚽
own goal
28′
3–1 N. Stanciu ⚽
I. Obradović
31′
Half-time 3–1
A. Najar 🔁
↦ K. Mbodji
56′
63′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ I. Feruz
64′
🔁 V. Viola
↦ S. Diédhiou
Capel 🔁
↦ Ł. Teodorczyk
67′
F. Acheampong 🔁
↦ N. Stanciu
74′
75′
🟨 Matej Delac
4–1 Y. Tielemans ⚽
76′
81′
🟨 David Hubert
5–1 U. Spajić ⚽
Y. Tielemans
82′
83′
🔁 D. Mohamed
↦ N. Gulan
6–1 M. Bruno ⚽
84′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
23 F. Boeckx G
37 I. Obradović D
14 B. Nuytinck D
4 K. Mbodji D
5 U. Spajić D
94 S. Hanni M
73 N. Stanciu M
10 M. Bruno M
32 L. Dendoncker M
31 Y. Tielemans M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
Bench (7)
7 A. Najar
17 Capel
18 F. Acheampong
1 D. Roef
40 W. Faes
41 E. Sowah Adjei
77 N. Kabasele

Coach: R. Weiler

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
21 M. Delač G
24 N. Gulan M
34 S. Simič D
29 T. Peyre D
26 A. Nkaka D
5 D. Hubert M
22 L. Stojanović M
10 Trézéguet M
4 K. Essikal M
99 I. Feruz
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
8 F. Olinga
16 V. Viola
11 D. Mohamed
6 C. Manea
7 F. Marković
17 M. Neves
33 T. Defourmy

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.