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Pro League
Referee: A Denil
St Truiden
T T S T S
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Seraing United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,7
This season — Pro League · 24/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
33%
27%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
54%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
41%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Seraing United 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 21 17 2 2 +40 53
2 Anderlecht 20 12 7 1 +36 43
3 Club Brugge 19 12 4 3 +15 40
4 Antwerp 20 12 3 5 +15 39
5 Kortrijk 24 10 9 5 +8 39
6 Charleroi 19 9 5 5 +9 32
7 Genk 18 9 4 5 +17 31
8 Cercle Brugge 24 9 4 11 +3 31
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 7 8 8 -2 29
10 Mechelen 20 9 2 9 -5 29
11 Gent 18 7 6 5 +7 27
12 St Truiden 24 8 3 13 -11 27
13 Standard 22 7 6 9 -11 27
14 Eupen 24 7 5 12 -9 26
15 Oostende 23 8 2 13 -20 26
16 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
17 Seraing United 22 6 1 15 -23 19
18 Seraing 23 6 1 16 -25 19
19 Beerschot VA 22 3 3 16 -26 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Seraing United
Junior Pius 🟨
33′
1–0 D. Hayashi
R. Reitz
40′
44′
Y. Nadrani 1–1
M. Cachbach
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Georges Mikautadze
A. Koita 🔁
↦ L. Cacace
67′
C. Durkin 🔁
↦ R. Reitz
72′
72′
🔁 F. Sambu
↦ A. Bernier
72′
🔁 B. Boulenger
↦ M. Poaty
76′
🟨 Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni
2–1 C. Brüls
78′
80′
🔁 M. Mouandilmadji
↦ M. Cachbach
87′
🔁 E. Spago
↦ D. Opare
Jorge Teixeira 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
90′
Robert Bauer 🟨
92′
3–1 T. Hara
C. Durkin
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
37 T. Leistner D
40 J. Pius D
27 D. Lavalée M
13 L. Cacace D
4 D. Hashioka D
44 C. Brüls M
20 R. Bauer D
8 R. Reitz M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
14 A. Koita
32 C. Durkin
26 Jorge Teixeira
66 M. Delorge-Knieper
2 K. Matsubara
30 N. Balongo
35 W. Vanmarsenille

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Seraing United

5-4-1
30 G. Dietsch G
40 D. Opare D
25 M. Wagué D
8 G. Kilota M
20 Y. Nadrani D
18 M. Poaty D
13 K. Dabila D
12 A. Bernier M
88 Y. Maziz M
17 M. Cachbach M
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (7)
21 F. Sambu
24 B. Boulenger
10 M. Mouandilmadji
28 E. Spago
6 T. Pierrot
22 M. Mignon
5 R. Djedje

Coach: J. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Denil · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.