← Match Finder
Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Freiburg
T U S U T
2–0
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Freiburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
21%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
53%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Freiburg 6. · Stuttgart 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 19 15 1 3 +43 46
2 Dortmund 19 13 1 5 +20 40
3 Leverkusen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
4 Hoffenheim 19 9 4 6 +10 31
5 Union Berlin 19 8 7 4 +3 31
6 Freiburg 19 8 6 5 +8 30
7 RB Leipzig 19 8 4 7 +13 28
8 Ein Frankfurt 20 7 7 6 +0 28
9 FC Koln 19 7 7 5 -2 28
10 Mainz 19 8 3 8 +6 27
11 Bochum 19 7 2 10 -10 23
12 M'gladbach 19 6 4 9 -10 22
13 Hertha 19 6 4 9 -17 22
14 Bielefeld 20 4 9 7 -6 21
15 Wolfsburg 19 6 3 10 -13 21
16 Augsburg 19 4 7 8 -11 19
17 Stuttgart 19 4 6 9 -11 18
18 Greuther Furth 19 1 4 14 -36 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Freiburg Stuttgart
Nicolas Höfler 🟨
24′
35′
ℹ️ Alexis Tibidi
VAR: Penalty cancelled
0–1 H. Ito
own goal
37′
Half-time 0–1
66′
🔁 S. Katompa Mvumpa
↦ A. Tibidi
M. Gulde 🔁
↦ L. Kübler
67′
1–1 K. Schade
E. Demirović
71′
72′
🔁 N. Ahamada
↦ O. Mangala
72′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ T. Coulibaly
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ K. Schade
74′
Jeong Woo-Yeong 🔁
↦ E. Demirović
74′
85′
🔁 Ö. Beyaz
↦ H. Ito
Y. Keitel 🔁
↦ M. Eggestein
86′
N. Petersen 🔁
↦ L. Höler
86′
94′
🟨 Borna Sosa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-4-1-1
26 M. Flekken G
17 L. Kübler D
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
27 N. Höfler M
32 V. Grifo M
8 M. Eggestein M
9 L. Höler F
11 E. Demirović F
20 K. Schade M
Bench (9)
5 M. Gulde
22 R. Sallai
29 Jeong Woo-Yeong
14 Y. Keitel
18 N. Petersen
19 J. Haberer
1 B. Uphoff
7 J. Schmid
31 K. Schlotterbeck

Coach: C. Streich

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
22 C. Führich M
7 T. Coulibaly F
9 S. Kalajdzic F
50 A. Tibidi F
Bench (9)
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa
32 N. Ahamada
25 L. Egloff
34 Ö. Beyaz
31 M. Klimowicz
28 N. Nartey
33 F. Bredlow
15 P. Stenzel
16 A. Karazor

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,50
B
3,96
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.