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Championship

Referee: T Harrington

Birmingham

U T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Barnsley

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

3,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,3

This season — Championship · 27/25 matches

Win Ø 17%

26%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

48%

36%

Both score Ø 41%

33%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,6

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 20. · Barnsley 25. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	27	17	6	4	+48	57
2	Blackburn	28	15	7	6	+18	52
3	Bournemouth	27	14	8	5	+20	50
4	West Brom	28	13	9	6	+15	48
5	Middlesbrough	27	13	6	8	+8	45
6	QPR	26	13	5	8	+7	44
7	Coventry	26	12	7	7	+11	43
8	Stoke	26	12	5	9	+7	41
9	Huddersfield	26	11	8	7	+5	41
10	Nott'm Forest	26	11	6	9	+6	39
11	Luton	24	10	7	7	+10	37
12	Preston	26	9	9	8	-2	36
13	Blackpool	27	10	6	11	-3	36
14	Bristol City	28	10	6	12	-11	36
15	Sheffield United	24	10	5	9	+3	35
16	Derby	28	8	11	9	-1	35
17	Millwall	26	8	9	9	-2	33
18	Swansea	24	8	7	9	-2	31
19	Reading	27	9	4	14	-15	31
20	Birmingham	27	7	7	13	-16	28
21	Hull	27	7	5	15	-10	26
22	Cardiff	27	6	6	15	-19	24
23	Peterborough	24	5	4	15	-27	19
24	Peterboro	25	5	4	16	-30	19
25	Barnsley	25	2	9	14	-20	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fulham	14	9	3	2	+24	30
3	West Brom	13	8	5	0	+15	29
4	Middlesbrough	15	9	2	4	+9	29
5	Coventry	13	8	2	3	+12	26
6	Bournemouth	12	7	3	2	+13	24
7	Stoke	14	7	3	4	+6	24
8	Huddersfield	12	7	3	2	+6	24
9	QPR	13	7	3	3	+6	24
10	Preston	14	6	6	2	+4	24
11	Derby	13	6	5	2	+5	23
12	Blackpool	15	7	2	6	-1	23
13	Luton	12	6	3	3	+8	21
14	Nott'm Forest	14	6	2	6	+0	20
15	Bristol City	15	5	5	5	-1	20
16	Swansea	12	5	4	3	+5	19
17	Millwall	12	5	4	3	+2	19
18	Reading	15	5	4	6	-7	19
19	Sheffield United	11	5	2	4	+8	17
20	Peterboro	12	4	4	4	+0	16
21	Peterborough	12	4	4	4	+0	16
22	Birmingham	12	4	3	5	-3	15
23	Hull	14	4	3	7	-4	15
24	Barnsley	12	2	4	6	-7	10
25	Cardiff	12	2	1	9	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	13	8	3	2	+24	27
2	Bournemouth	15	7	5	3	+7	26
3	QPR	13	6	2	5	+1	20
4	Nott'm Forest	12	5	4	3	+6	19
5	Blackburn	13	5	4	4	+1	19
6	West Brom	15	5	4	6	+0	19
7	Sheffield United	13	5	3	5	-5	18
8	Stoke	12	5	2	5	+1	17
9	Coventry	13	4	5	4	-1	17
10	Huddersfield	14	4	5	5	-1	17
11	Cardiff	15	4	5	6	-9	17
12	Luton	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Middlesbrough	12	4	4	4	-1	16
14	Bristol City	13	5	1	7	-10	16
15	Millwall	14	3	5	6	-4	14
16	Blackpool	12	3	4	5	-2	13
17	Birmingham	15	3	4	8	-13	13
18	Preston	12	3	3	6	-6	12
19	Derby	15	2	6	7	-6	12
20	Swansea	12	3	3	6	-7	12
21	Reading	12	4	0	8	-8	12
22	Hull	13	3	2	8	-6	11
23	Barnsley	13	0	5	8	-13	5
24	Peterborough	12	1	0	11	-27	3
25	Peterboro	13	1	0	12	-30	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.