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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Willem II
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Twente
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
26%
53%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
47%
Both score Ø 61%
53%
68%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 15. · Twente 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 15 1 3 +23 46
2 Ajax 19 14 3 2 +55 45
3 Feyenoord 19 12 3 4 +24 39
4 Twente 19 10 5 4 +8 35
5 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 2 6 +11 32
6 Vitesse 18 10 2 6 -2 32
7 Cambuur 20 9 3 8 -7 30
8 Utrecht 18 8 5 5 +8 29
9 Nijmegen 19 7 5 7 -2 26
10 Heerenveen 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 3 10 -12 21
13 Heracles 19 5 4 10 -5 19
14 Waalwijk 19 4 7 8 -9 19
15 Willem II 19 5 3 11 -20 18
16 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 8 9 -12 14
17 For Sittard 19 3 4 12 -28 13
18 Zwolle 20 3 3 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Twente
39′
M. Sadílek 0–1
R. Pröpper
Half-time 0–1
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ M. Svensson
59′
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ D. Saddiki
75′
75′
🔁 R. Zerrouki
↦ M. Ugalde
Ulrik Jenssen 🟨
78′
83′
🔁 V. Černý
↦ D. Limnios
83′
🔁 V. Misidjan
↦ D. Rots
93′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-2-3-1
21 T. Wellenreuther G
5 E. Bergström D
4 U. Jenssen D
13 L. Owusu D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
11 M. Köhlert D
14 E. Kabangu F
7 C. Nunnely M
15 M. Svensson M
Bench (12)
10 A. Kampetsis
20 G. Roemeratoe
12 R. Zuijderwijk
28 V. Schippers
16 R. Meerveld
18 M. Nelom
25 N. Michelis
26 J. Brondeel
24 C. van den Berg
3 F. Heerkens
27 D. Köhn
2 K. Ludewig

Coach: F. Grim

Twente

4-2-3-1
22 J. de Lange G
3 R. Pröpper D
2 G. Troupée D
5 G. Smal D
35 M. Hilgers D
23 M. Sadílek M
18 D. Limnios M
14 M. Vlap M
13 R. van Wolfswinkel F
27 M. Ugalde M
39 D. Rots M
Bench (10)
19 R. Zerrouki
7 V. Černý
10 V. Misidjan
38 M. Bruns
36 L. Everink
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
17 J. Oosterwolde
40 C. Staring
26 D. Cleonise
30 E. van der Gouw

Coach: R. Jans

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,20
U
3,38
B ✓
2,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.