Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Hansa Rostock
Heidenheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St Pauli
|
20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +13 | 37 |
| 2 |
Darmstadt
|
19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |
Hamburg
|
20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | +14 | 34 |
| 4 |
Nurnberg
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +6 | 33 |
| 5 |
Heidenheim
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +0 | 33 |
| 6 |
Werder Bremen
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +10 | 32 |
| 7 |
Schalke 04
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 31 |
| 8 |
Regensburg
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 31 |
| 9 |
Paderborn
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 30 |
| 10 |
Karlsruhe
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 26 |
| 11 |
Dresden
|
19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 |
Hannover
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -12 | 23 |
| 13 |
Holstein Kiel
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 20 |
| 15 |
Hansa Rostock
|
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 |
Sandhausen
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -19 | 17 |
| 17 |
Erzgebirge Aue
|
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 18 | Ingolstadt | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | -24 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hansa Rostock
Hannover
Karlsruhe
Hansa Rostock
Hamburg
Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock
Paderborn
Hansa Rostock
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.