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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Stoke
S U T T S
2–3
Full-time
Fulham
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
4,7
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
This season — Championship · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 55%
46%
63%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
38%
56%
Both score Ø 49%
42%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,6
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%
6 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 8. · Fulham 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 27 17 6 4 +48 57
2 Blackburn 28 15 7 6 +18 52
3 Bournemouth 27 14 8 5 +20 50
4 West Brom 28 13 9 6 +15 48
5 Middlesbrough 27 13 6 8 +8 45
6 QPR 26 13 5 8 +7 44
7 Coventry 26 12 7 7 +11 43
8 Stoke 26 12 5 9 +7 41
9 Huddersfield 26 11 8 7 +5 41
10 Nott'm Forest 26 11 6 9 +6 39
11 Luton 24 10 7 7 +10 37
12 Preston 26 9 9 8 -2 36
13 Blackpool 27 10 6 11 -3 36
14 Bristol City 28 10 6 12 -11 36
15 Sheffield United 24 10 5 9 +3 35
16 Derby 28 8 11 9 -1 35
17 Millwall 26 8 9 9 -2 33
18 Swansea 24 8 7 9 -2 31
19 Reading 27 9 4 14 -15 31
20 Birmingham 27 7 7 13 -16 28
21 Hull 27 7 5 15 -10 26
22 Cardiff 27 6 6 15 -19 24
23 Peterborough 24 5 4 15 -27 19
24 Peterboro 25 5 4 16 -30 19
25 Barnsley 25 2 9 14 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Fulham
1–0 D. Wright-Phillips
J. Tymon
1′
2′
Rodrigo Muniz 1–1
H. Reed
33′
Rodrigo Muniz 1–2
F. Carvalho
Jacob Brown 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–2
51′
🔁 D. Odoi
↦ K. Tete
2–2 L. Baker
J. Tymon
58′
72′
B. De Cordova-Reid 2–3
76′
🔁 N. Chalobah
↦ N. Kebano
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 🟨
79′
T. Campbell 🔁
↦ J. Brown
79′
T. Ince 🔁
↦ J. Allen
79′
J. Philogene-Bidace 🔁
↦ D. Wright-Phillips
85′
86′
🔁 A. Knockaert
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Stoke

3-5-2
13 J. Bonham G
19 P. Jagielka D
5 J. Chester D
2 T. Smith M
14 J. Tymon M
24 T. Harwood-Bellis D
4 J. Allen M
7 S. Clucas M
42 L. Baker M
32 D. Wright-Phillips F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
10 T. Campbell
23 T. Ince
47 J. Philogene-Bidace
3 M. Fox
8 M. Vrančić
9 S. Fletcher
29 F. Fielding

Coach: M. O'Neill

Fulham

4-2-3-1
1 M. Rodák G
13 T. Ream D
2 K. Tete D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
33 A. Robinson D
10 T. Cairney M
7 N. Kebano M
6 H. Reed M
28 F. Carvalho M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
19 Rodrigo Muniz F
Bench (7)
4 D. Odoi
12 N. Chalobah
11 A. Knockaert
3 M. Hector
65 J. Stansfield
25 J. Onomah
21 P. Gazzaniga

Coach: Marco Silva

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,91
U
3,52
B ✓
1,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.