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2. Bundesliga

Karlsruhe

S U T S S

1–0

Full-time

Paderborn

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

8 Corners 6

10 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Karlsruhe 10. · Paderborn 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	5	2	1	+6	17
2	Osnabruck	9	4	4	1	+2	16
3	Greuther Furth	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	Paderborn	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Bochum	8	4	2	2	+3	14
6	Holstein Kiel	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Erzgebirge Aue	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Darmstadt	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	3	2	3	-2	11
10	Karlsruhe	8	3	1	4	+3	10
11	Nurnberg	8	2	4	2	+2	10
12	Hannover	8	3	1	4	+2	10
13	Heidenheim	8	2	3	3	+1	9
14	Regensburg	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Sandhausen	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Braunschweig	9	2	2	5	-12	8
17	St Pauli	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Wurzburger Kickers	8	1	1	6	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	3	1	0	+8	10
2	Hamburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Paderborn	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Heidenheim	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Erzgebirge Aue	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Sandhausen	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Greuther Furth	4	2	1	1	+4	7
10	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Braunschweig	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Osnabruck	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Darmstadt	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Bochum	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	St Pauli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Wurzburger Kickers	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	+1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Osnabruck	5	2	3	0	+3	9
3	Greuther Furth	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Karlsruhe	5	2	1	2	+2	7
5	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Paderborn	4	1	2	1	+3	5
8	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Holstein Kiel	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Erzgebirge Aue	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	St Pauli	5	0	3	2	-3	3
12	Regensburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Heidenheim	4	0	1	3	-4	1
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	0	1	3	-5	1
15	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1
16	Hannover	4	0	0	4	-6	0
17	Wurzburger Kickers	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Sandhausen	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.