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Serie B
Venezia
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Ascoli
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
14%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 26%
38%
14%
Both score Ø 34%
25%
43%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

19 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Venezia 5. · Ascoli 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lecce 9 5 3 1 +12 18
2 Salernitana 8 5 2 1 +7 17
3 Empoli 8 5 2 1 +7 17
4 Spal 8 4 3 1 +5 15
5 Venezia 8 4 2 2 +6 14
6 Chievo 8 4 2 2 +3 14
7 Frosinone 8 4 1 3 +0 13
8 Cittadella 7 3 2 2 +4 11
9 Monza 7 2 4 1 +2 10
10 Brescia 7 2 3 2 +0 9
11 Pordenone 8 1 6 1 -1 9
12 Cosenza 8 1 5 2 -1 8
13 Reggina 8 1 4 3 -3 7
14 Pisa 7 1 4 2 -4 7
15 Reggiana 7 2 1 4 -8 7
16 Vicenza 6 1 3 2 -1 6
17 Ascoli 7 1 2 4 -4 5
18 Virtus Entella 8 0 5 3 -8 5
19 Pescara 8 1 1 6 -11 4
20 Cremonese 7 0 3 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,52
B
5,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.