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Eredivisie
Referee: R Dieperink
VVV Venlo
U T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Zwolle
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
3,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 17%
22%
11%
Points per game
0,9
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
78%
44%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
4,7
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
3,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,6
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match VVV Venlo 15. · Zwolle 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 10 9 0 1 +37 27
2 Vitesse 9 7 1 1 +12 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 6 2 1 +14 20
4 Feyenoord 8 6 2 0 +12 20
5 Twente 10 5 3 2 +10 18
6 Heerenveen 10 5 3 2 +5 18
7 AZ Alkmaar 8 3 5 0 +7 14
8 Groningen 9 4 2 3 -1 14
9 Utrecht 8 2 4 2 -3 10
10 Waalwijk 10 2 3 5 -8 9
11 Sparta Rotterdam 8 2 2 4 -2 8
12 Zwolle 9 1 5 3 -5 8
13 Willem II 9 2 2 5 -8 8
14 Heracles 9 2 2 5 -9 8
15 VVV Venlo 9 2 2 5 -14 8
16 Den Haag 10 1 2 7 -18 5
17 For Sittard 9 0 3 6 -13 3
18 FC Emmen 10 0 3 7 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VVV Venlo Zwolle
9′
🟨 Yuta Nakayama
1–0 J. Arias
21′
36′
M. Pherai 1–1
K. Paal
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Drost
↦ M. Pherai
C. Kum 🔁
↦ A. Swinkels
57′
J. John 🔁
↦ T. Hunte
69′
69′
M. van Duinen 1–2
S. van Wermeskerken
2–2 G. Giakoumakis
C. Kum
78′
83′
🔁 R. Strieder
↦ D. Huiberts
83′
🔁 C. Leemans
↦ M. Saymak
87′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ M. van Duinen
90′
🟥 Thomas Lam
95′
🔁 M. Doue
↦ E. Reijnders
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

4-4-2
1 T. Kirschbaum G
3 A. Swinkels D
2 T. Pachonik D
5 S. Schäfer D
4 R. Gelmi D
6 D. Post M
21 E. Linthorst M
27 T. Hunte M
11 G. Giakoumakis F
10 V. van Crooij M
25 J. Arias F
Bench (12)
14 C. Kum
12 J. John
19 Y. Roemer
17 T. Dekker
8 Z. Machach
24 W. Essanoussi
7 G. Hupperts
16 D. van Crooij
22 B. Verbong
20 A. Bastiaans
15 S. Janssen
18 S. van Dijck

Coach: H. de Koning

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama M
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
6 M. Saymak M
25 M. Pherai F
23 E. Reijnders F
30 D. Huiberts M
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (9)
11 J. Drost
13 R. Strieder
10 C. Leemans
21 S. Lagsir
36 M. Doue
40 M. Hauptmeijer
16 X. Mous
20 T. van den Belt
28 J. Quispel

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U ✓
3,42
B
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,18
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Dieperink · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.