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Bundesliga
Referee: R Eisner
SK Rapid
U S T U U
4–0
Full-time
Tirol
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
54%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
58%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 2. · Tirol 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 26 20 1 5 +49 61
2 SK Rapid 26 14 8 4 +22 50
3 LASK 26 14 4 8 +18 46
4 Sturm Graz 26 12 7 7 +12 43
5 Wolfsberger AC 26 12 3 11 -4 39
6 Hartberg 27 9 10 8 -12 37
7 Tirol 26 10 6 10 +3 36
8 Austria Vienna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
9 Ried 27 7 6 14 -21 27
10 Altach 27 7 5 15 -25 26
11 St. Polten 27 5 7 15 -14 22
12 Admira 27 5 5 17 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SK Rapid Tirol
18′
🟨 Raffael Behounek
0–1 R. Behounek
own goal
21′
L. Greiml 🔁
↦ M. Hofmann
27′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Nemanja Celic
Christoph Knasmüllner 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 R. Smith
↦ B. Pranter
62′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ F. Rieder
T. Fountas 🔁
↦ M. Ritzmaier
66′
Y. Demir 🔁
↦ C. Knasmüllner
78′
S. Grahovac 🔁
↦ D. Ljubičić
78′
T. Schick 🔁
↦ K. Arase
78′
80′
🔁 F. Toplitsch
↦ F. Koch
1–1 Y. Demir
E. Kara
81′
2–1 Y. Demir
84′
3–1 E. Kara
T. Schick
86′
92′
🔁 Bruno Soares
↦ T. Petsos
92′
🔁 F. Buchacher
↦ D. Schnegg
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
1 R. Strebinger G
22 F. Stojković D
20 M. Hofmann D
31 M. Ullmann D
4 M. Barać D
28 C. Knasmüllner M
8 M. Ritzmaier M
16 D. Petrovič M
39 D. Ljubičić M
29 E. Kara F
36 K. Arase M
Bench (7)
30 L. Greiml
9 T. Fountas
48 Y. Demir
14 S. Grahovac
13 T. Schick
25 P. Gartler
32 K. Kitagawa

Coach: D. Kühbauer

Tirol

4-4-2
13 B. Ozegovic G
24 F. Koch D
4 D. Gugganig D
30 R. Behounek D
43 N. Celic M
28 D. Schnegg D
7 B. Pranter F
6 T. Petsos M
16 F. Rieder M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
9 N. Frederiksen F
Bench (7)
8 R. Smith
17 J. Naschberger
10 F. Toplitsch
44 Bruno Soares
26 F. Buchacher
29 S. Lauf
1 S. Beccari

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Eisner · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.