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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Lugano
S U S T S
0–1
Full-time
Servette
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
33%
37%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
37%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 19
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 3. · Servette 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 19 9 1 +34 66
2 Basel 31 12 8 11 +6 44
3 Lugano 30 10 13 7 +3 43
4 Lausanne 30 11 8 11 +3 41
5 Servette 30 11 8 11 -8 41
6 St. Gallen 31 9 10 12 -5 37
7 Luzern 30 9 9 12 +1 36
8 Zurich 30 9 8 13 -4 35
9 Vaduz 31 8 9 14 -16 33
10 Sion 30 6 12 12 -14 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Servette
Mattia Bottani 🟨
4′
Fabio Daprelà 🟥
8′
9′
T. Valls 0–1
21′
🟨 Arial Mendy
35′
🟨 Alex Schalk
Half-time 0–1
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ J. Ardaiz
46′
49′
🟨 Kastriot Imeri
Ákos Kecskés 🟨
50′
M. Čovilo 🔁
↦ Á. Kecskés
52′
Asumah Abubakar 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 Y. Severin
↦ A. Mendy
62′
🔁 R. Azevedo
↦ K. Imeri
69′
🔁 B. Fofana
↦ A. Schalk
C. Lungoyi 🔁
↦ S. Lovrić
70′
S. Guidotti 🔁
↦ J. Sabbatini
78′
A. Gerndt 🔁
↦ M. Bottani
78′
81′
🔁 A. Martial
↦ T. Valls
81′
🔁 K. Koné
↦ G. Kyei
90′
🟨 Koro Koné
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lugano

3-1-4-2
58 S. Osigwe G
33 R. Ziegler D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovrić M
10 M. Bottani F
23 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (7)
17 Asumah Abubakar
6 M. Čovilo
8 C. Lungoyi
22 S. Guidotti
19 A. Gerndt
91 M. Facchinetti
76 L. Soldini

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Servette

4-4-2
32 J. Frick G
23 V. Sasso D
4 S. Rouiller D
24 A. Mendy D
33 N. Vouilloz D
9 M. Stevanović M
15 T. Valls M
5 B. Cespedes M
17 K. Imeri M
10 A. Schalk F
25 G. Kyei F
Bench (7)
19 Y. Severin
22 R. Azevedo
35 B. Fofana
12 A. Martial
18 K. Koné
26 M. Holcbecher
1 J. Kiassumbua

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.