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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Villarreal

S S T S T

1–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

4,2

Scored

2,5

3,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,2

This season — La Liga · 32/31 matches

Win Ø 53%

38%

68%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

56%

61%

Both score Ø 62%

69%

55%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,4

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 1

1 Offside 6

16 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 7. · Barcelona 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	32	22	7	3	+39	73
2	Real Madrid	33	21	8	4	+32	71
3	Barcelona	31	21	5	5	+46	68
4	Sevilla	32	21	4	7	+22	67
5	Sociedad	32	13	11	8	+16	50
6	Betis	33	14	8	11	-3	50
7	Villarreal	32	12	13	7	+13	49
8	Granada	31	12	6	13	-11	42
9	Osasuna	32	10	10	12	-7	40
10	Ath Bilbao	31	9	11	11	+6	38
11	Celta	32	9	11	12	-8	38
12	Levante	33	9	11	13	-8	38
13	Cadiz	33	9	10	14	-21	37
14	Valencia	33	8	12	13	-7	36
15	Getafe	33	8	10	15	-13	34
16	Alaves	33	7	10	16	-21	31
17	Elche	33	6	12	15	-20	30
18	Valladolid	32	5	14	13	-14	29
19	Huesca	33	5	12	16	-19	27
20	Eibar	32	4	11	17	-22	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Barcelona	16	11	4	1	+26	37
3	Real Madrid	16	11	2	3	+17	35
4	Sevilla	15	11	1	3	+14	34
5	Granada	16	9	3	4	+4	30
6	Betis	17	8	5	4	+4	29
7	Sociedad	17	7	6	4	+8	27
8	Ath Bilbao	15	7	4	4	+10	25
9	Valencia	16	6	7	3	+6	25
10	Villarreal	15	6	6	3	+4	24
11	Osasuna	17	6	5	6	-2	23
12	Levante	17	5	7	5	-3	22
13	Getafe	17	5	6	6	+2	21
14	Celta	15	6	3	6	-3	21
15	Elche	16	4	8	4	-4	20
16	Alaves	17	5	5	7	-6	20
17	Cadiz	17	4	5	8	-12	17
18	Huesca	16	3	6	7	-6	15
19	Valladolid	16	3	6	7	-8	15
20	Eibar	15	1	6	8	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
2	Sevilla	17	10	3	4	+8	33
3	Barcelona	15	10	1	4	+20	31
4	Ath Madrid	15	9	4	2	+11	31
5	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
6	Sociedad	15	6	5	4	+8	23
7	Betis	16	6	3	7	-7	21
8	Cadiz	16	5	5	6	-9	20
9	Celta	17	3	8	6	-5	17
10	Osasuna	15	4	5	6	-5	17
11	Levante	16	4	4	8	-5	16
12	Valladolid	16	2	8	6	-6	14
13	Eibar	17	3	5	9	-12	14
14	Ath Bilbao	16	2	7	7	-4	13
15	Getafe	16	3	4	9	-15	13
16	Huesca	17	2	6	9	-13	12
17	Granada	15	3	3	9	-15	12
18	Valencia	17	2	5	10	-13	11
19	Alaves	16	2	5	9	-15	11
20	Elche	17	2	4	11	-16	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.