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Bundesliga

Referee: C Jäger

Sturm Graz

U T S U T

3–1

Full-time

LASK

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 50%

46%

54%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

54%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

46%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%

12 Shots 16

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

2 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · LASK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	27	21	1	5	+50	64
2	SK Rapid	27	15	8	4	+26	53
3	LASK	26	14	4	8	+18	46
4	Sturm Graz	26	12	7	7	+12	43
5	Wolfsberger AC	27	12	3	12	-5	39
6	Hartberg	27	9	10	8	-12	37
7	Tirol	27	10	6	11	-1	36
8	Austria Vienna	27	9	8	10	+3	35
9	Ried	27	7	6	14	-21	27
10	Altach	27	7	5	15	-25	26
11	St. Polten	27	5	7	15	-14	22
12	Admira	27	5	5	17	-31	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	0	2	+29	33
2	SK Rapid	14	9	3	2	+16	30
3	Sturm Graz	13	9	1	3	+12	28
4	LASK	13	8	1	4	+15	25
5	Hartberg	13	5	5	3	-2	20
6	Tirol	13	5	4	4	+4	19
7	Ried	14	5	3	6	-9	18
8	Altach	14	4	4	6	-7	16
9	Austria Vienna	13	3	6	4	-2	15
10	Wolfsberger AC	14	3	3	8	-15	12
11	Admira	14	3	2	9	-14	11
12	St. Polten	13	1	3	9	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	14	10	1	3	+21	31
2	Wolfsberger AC	13	9	0	4	+10	27
3	SK Rapid	13	6	5	2	+10	23
4	LASK	13	6	3	4	+3	21
5	Austria Vienna	14	6	2	6	+5	20
6	Tirol	14	5	2	7	-5	17
7	Hartberg	14	4	5	5	-10	17
8	St. Polten	14	4	4	6	-1	16
9	Sturm Graz	13	3	6	4	+0	15
10	Altach	13	3	1	9	-18	10
11	Ried	13	2	3	8	-12	9
12	Admira	13	2	3	8	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.