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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
2–0
Full-time
Hamburg
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kaiserslautern Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 48%
37%
59%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
59%
56%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kaiserslautern 7. · Hamburg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 27 17 7 3 +21 58
2 Heidenheim 28 15 9 4 +25 54
3 Hamburg 27 16 5 6 +21 53
4 St Pauli 27 13 8 6 +13 47
5 Paderborn 28 14 4 10 +20 46
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 13 5 9 +11 44
7 Kaiserslautern 27 10 10 7 +4 40
8 Holstein Kiel 28 10 10 8 +2 40
9 Karlsruhe 27 10 6 11 +1 36
10 Greuther Furth 28 9 9 10 -2 36
11 Hannover 28 9 7 12 -6 34
12 Magdeburg 28 9 5 14 -12 32
13 Nurnberg 28 8 6 14 -17 30
14 Bielefeld 27 8 5 14 -4 29
15 Braunschweig 27 7 8 12 -12 29
16 Regensburg 28 7 6 15 -17 27
17 Hansa Rostock 28 7 4 17 -23 25
18 Sandhausen 28 6 6 16 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kaiserslautern Hamburg
20′
🟨 Miro Muheim
Boris Tomiak 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
Nicolas de Préville 🟨
49′
T. Boyd 🔁
↦ K. Redondo
65′
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
65′
69′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ S. Kittel
1–0 T. Boyd
J. Zimmer
71′
D. Hanslik 🔁
↦ B. Zolinski
75′
75′
🔁 J. Dompé
↦ L. Bénes
Terrence Boyd 🟨
76′
84′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ A. Suhonen
A. Opoku 🔁
↦ J. Niehues
85′
2–0 A. Opoku
P. Hercher
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Kaiserslautern

3-4-1-2
1 A. Luthe G
32 R. Bormuth D
5 K. Kraus D
2 B. Tomiak D
8 J. Zimmer M
7 M. Ritter M
16 J. Niehues M
21 H. Zuck M
31 B. Zolinski F
28 N. de Préville F
11 K. Redondo F
Bench (9)
13 T. Boyd
23 P. Hercher
19 D. Hanslik
25 A. Opoku
27 L. Lobinger
37 E. Durm
10 P. Klement
30 A. Spahić
20 D. Schad

Coach: D. Schuster

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer G
33 N. Katterbach D
34 J. David D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
36 A. Suhonen M
14 L. Reis M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
10 S. Kittel F
Bench (8)
11 R. Königsdörffer
27 J. Dompé
20 A. Németh
7 F. Bilbija
2 W. Mikelbrencis
16 Javi Montero
46 E. Krahn
19 M. Raab

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,58
U
3,75
B
1,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.