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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Sandhausen
T T T U U
0–5
Full-time
St Pauli
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandhausen St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
21%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

24% Possession 76%
3 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandhausen 18. · St Pauli 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 25 15 7 3 +19 52
2 Heidenheim 25 14 8 3 +23 50
3 Hamburg 25 15 4 6 +16 49
4 Paderborn 25 12 4 9 +17 40
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 24 12 3 9 +8 39
6 Kaiserslautern 25 10 9 6 +5 39
7 St Pauli 24 10 8 6 +6 38
8 Holstein Kiel 25 8 10 7 +1 34
9 Karlsruhe 25 10 4 11 +1 34
10 Hannover 24 8 7 9 +1 31
11 Greuther Furth 25 7 9 9 -4 30
12 Nurnberg 25 8 5 12 -15 29
13 Magdeburg 25 8 4 13 -14 28
14 Regensburg 25 7 5 13 -15 26
15 Bielefeld 25 7 4 14 -5 25
16 Hansa Rostock 24 7 4 13 -13 25
17 Braunschweig 24 5 7 12 -14 22
18 Sandhausen 24 5 6 13 -17 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandhausen St Pauli
19′
M. Saliakas 0–1
L. Daschner
24′
L. Daschner 0–2
25′
O. Afolayan 0–3
C. Metcalfe
M. Mehlem 🔁
↦ E. Zenga
27′
Ahmed Kutucu 🟨
28′
Immanuel Höhn 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–3
Alexander Esswein 🟥
46′
A. Sicker 🔁
↦ C. Kinsombi
46′
M. Pulkrab 🔁
↦ H. Al Ghaddioui
46′
Alexander Esswein ℹ️
VAR:
48′
48′
J. Irvine 0–4
L. Paqarada
62′
🔁 J. Eggestein
↦ C. Metcalfe
D. Đumić 🔁
↦ A. Kutucu
65′
73′
🔁 B. Fazliji
↦ O. Afolayan
73′
🔁 Maurides
↦ L. Daschner
B. Ajdini 🔁
↦ M. Pulkrab
78′
81′
🔁 A. Dźwigała
↦ M. Saliakas
81′
🔁 L. Ritzka
↦ L. Paqarada
88′
J. Irvine 0–5
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Sandhausen

4-1-3-2
1 P. Drewes G
18 D. Diekmeier D
15 I. Höhn D
2 A. Zhirov D
36 C. Okoroji D
17 E. Zenga M
30 A. Esswein M
10 D. Kinsombi M
8 C. Kinsombi M
14 H. Al Ghaddioui F
23 A. Kutucu F
Bench (9)
5 M. Mehlem
27 A. Sicker
9 M. Pulkrab
3 D. Đumić
19 B. Ajdini
38 F. Evina
21 T. Königsmann
22 M. Ritzmaier
6 A. El-Zein

Coach: T. Oral

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
18 J. Medić D
8 E. Smith D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
23 L. Paqarada M
24 C. Metcalfe F
13 L. Daschner F
17 O. Afolayan F
Bench (9)
11 J. Eggestein
5 B. Fazliji
9 Maurides
25 A. Dźwigała
21 L. Ritzka
16 C. Boukhalfa
27 D. Otto
32 J. Wieckhoff
30 S. Burchert

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,93
U
3,52
B ✓
1,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.