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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Ittrich

Osnabruck

S U U T T

1–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 32%

55%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

64%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

2,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 9

5 Blocked shots 5

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osnabruck 17. · Holstein Kiel 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	3	3	+10	21
3	Hamburg	11	6	3	2	+9	21
4	Holstein Kiel	11	6	1	4	+0	19
5	Hannover	11	5	3	3	+9	18
6	Kaiserslautern	11	5	3	3	+3	18
7	Wehen	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Nurnberg	11	5	3	3	-1	18
9	Elversberg	12	5	3	4	-1	18
10	Hertha	11	5	0	6	+2	15
11	Greuther Furth	11	4	3	4	+1	15
12	Paderborn	11	4	3	4	-3	15
13	Magdeburg	11	3	4	4	+1	13
14	Karlsruhe	11	3	3	5	-1	12
15	Hansa Rostock	11	4	0	7	-6	12
16	Schalke 04	11	3	1	7	-8	10
17	Osnabruck	11	1	3	7	-16	6
18	Braunschweig	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	St Pauli	6	4	2	0	+11	14
3	Greuther Furth	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Kaiserslautern	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Nurnberg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
8	Hertha	5	3	0	2	+8	9
9	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Wehen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Magdeburg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Paderborn	5	2	2	1	+2	8
15	Holstein Kiel	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Elversberg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
17	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Osnabruck	6	1	1	4	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+4	12
2	Holstein Kiel	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Elversberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Wehen	6	3	0	3	+1	9
6	Hannover	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-5	7
8	Paderborn	6	2	1	3	-5	7
9	Hamburg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-6	6
11	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Kaiserslautern	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Karlsruhe	6	1	1	4	-4	4
14	Hansa Rostock	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Osnabruck	5	0	2	3	-12	2
17	Schalke 04	6	0	1	5	-10	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.