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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
0–2
Full-time
Elversberg
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
42%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
22 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
12 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. · Elversberg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 13 6 6 1 +6 24
2 Hannover 12 7 1 4 +6 22
3 FC Koln 13 6 3 4 +5 21
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 12 6 3 3 +5 21
5 Karlsruhe 12 5 5 2 +3 20
6 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
7 Elversberg 12 5 4 3 +8 19
8 Nurnberg 13 5 3 5 +3 18
9 Magdeburg 12 4 6 2 +3 18
10 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
11 Hertha 12 5 2 5 +0 17
12 Darmstadt 12 4 4 4 +3 16
13 Greuther Furth 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Schalke 04 12 3 3 6 -3 12
15 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
16 Preußen Münster 13 2 5 6 -5 11
17 Ulm 12 2 4 6 -3 10
18 Regensburg 12 2 1 9 -27 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fortuna Dusseldorf Elversberg
Andre Hoffmann 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ M. Feil
58′
F. Asllani 0–1
D. Kownacki 🔁
↦ D. Schmidt
62′
J. Niemiec 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
62′
65′
L. Petkov 0–2
M. Damar
Marcel Sobottka 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 F. Gerezgiher
↦ T. Zimmerschied
79′
🟨 Lukas Petkov
J. Siebert 🔁
↦ E. Iyoha
79′
S. Appelkamp 🔁
↦ A. Hoffmann
79′
Dženan Pejčinović ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
83′
85′
🔁 A. Sicker
↦ M. Damar
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ M. Sobottka
90′
93′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ F. Asllani
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-4-2
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
19 E. Iyoha D
11 F. Klaus M
31 M. Sobottka M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
21 T. Rossmann M
22 D. Schmidt F
7 D. Pejčinović F
Bench (9)
24 D. Kownacki
18 J. Niemiec
20 J. Siebert
23 S. Appelkamp
9 V. Vermeij
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson
26 F. Schock
10 M. van Brederode
6 G. Haag

Coach: D. Thioune

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
33 M. Neubauer D
23 C. Sickinger M
17 F. Schmahl M
7 M. Feil M
30 M. Damar M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
25 L. Petkov
27 F. Gerezgiher
26 A. Sicker
24 L. Schnellbacher
11 L. Dürholtz
1 F. Lehmann
28 T. Boss
18 M. Mahmoud
21 P. Stock

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
3,63
B ✓
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.