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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
FC Koln
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
4,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
82%
73%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
3,9
3,6
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%
23 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 11. · Greuther Furth 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hannover 11 7 1 3 +8 22
2 Paderborn 11 5 5 1 +5 20
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 2 3 +5 20
4 Hamburg 12 5 4 3 +9 19
5 Karlsruhe 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Nurnberg 12 5 3 4 +4 18
7 Magdeburg 11 4 5 2 +3 17
8 Kaiserslautern 12 4 5 3 +2 17
9 Hertha 11 5 2 4 +2 17
10 Elversberg 11 4 4 3 +6 16
11 FC Koln 11 4 3 4 +3 15
12 Darmstadt 11 3 4 4 +1 13
13 Greuther Furth 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Braunschweig 12 3 3 6 -10 12
15 Preußen Münster 11 2 4 5 -4 10
16 Ulm 11 2 3 6 -3 9
17 Schalke 04 11 2 3 6 -5 9
18 Regensburg 11 2 1 8 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Greuther Furth
Dominique Heintz 🟨
44′
44′
🟨 Noel Futkeu
45′
🟨 Damian Michalski
Half-time 0–0
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ J. Thielmann
58′
64′
🟨 Maximilian Dietz
64′
🔁 Nemanja Motika
↦ N. Futkeu
M. Finkgräfe 🔁
↦ L. Paqarada
68′
75′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ S. Asta
82′
🔁 D. Srbeny
↦ R. Massimo
82′
🔁 R. Münz
↦ N. Gießelmann
D. Downs 🔁
↦ T. Lemperle
83′
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ J. Pauli
84′
Damion Downs 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Gideon Jung
1–0 D. Downs
F. Kainz
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schwäbe G
24 J. Pauli D
4 T. Hübers D
3 D. Heintz D
29 J. Thielmann M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
6 E. Martel M
17 L. Paqarada M
7 D. Ljubičić F
37 L. Maina F
19 T. Lemperle F
Bench (9)
9 L. Waldschmidt
35 M. Finkgräfe
42 D. Downs
11 F. Kainz
47 M. Olesen
38 E. Bakatukanda
16 M. Obuz
18 R. Carstensen
40 J. Urbig

Coach: G. Struber

Greuther Furth

5-3-2
44 N. Noll G
2 S. Asta D
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
17 N. Gießelmann D
18 M. Meyerhöfer D
6 S. Bansé M
37 J. Green M
11 R. Massimo M
9 N. Futkeu F
10 B. Hrgota F
Bench (9)
22 Nemanja Motika
23 G. Jung
7 D. Srbeny
5 R. Münz
19 M. Wagner
1 N. Körber
3 O. Mhamdi
36 P. Müller
40 D. Kasper

Coach: L. Haas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,37
U
5,32
B
7,04
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.