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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Schwengers
Ulm
T U U U U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Greuther Furth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
4,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 19%
15%
23%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
46%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,1
3,5
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ulm 17. · Greuther Furth 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 14 7 6 1 +8 27
2 Kaiserslautern 14 6 5 3 +6 23
3 Hannover 14 7 2 5 +5 23
4 Karlsruhe 13 6 5 2 +4 23
5 Elversberg 14 6 4 4 +8 22
6 FC Koln 14 6 4 4 +5 22
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 13 6 3 4 +3 21
8 Hertha 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Magdeburg 14 5 6 3 +2 21
10 Hamburg 13 5 5 3 +9 20
11 Darmstadt 14 5 5 4 +4 20
12 Nurnberg 13 5 3 5 +3 18
13 Schalke 04 14 3 4 7 -6 13
14 Greuther Furth 13 3 4 6 -6 13
15 Braunschweig 14 3 4 7 -11 13
16 Preußen Münster 14 2 6 6 -5 12
17 Ulm 13 2 5 6 -3 11
18 Regensburg 14 2 2 10 -28 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ulm Greuther Furth
15′
ℹ️ Niko Giesselmann
VAR: Penalty confirmed
16′
J. Green 0–1
Niclas Thiede 🟨
32′
Maurice Krattenmacher ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
42′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Telalović
46′
48′
🟨 Niko Giesselmann
54′
🟨 Sacha Banse
Bastian Allgeier 🟨
54′
Aaron Keller 🟨
59′
64′
🟨 Marco Meyerhofer
A. Kahvić 🔁
↦ L. Röser
64′
J. Reichert 🔁
↦ B. Allgeier
64′
Luka Hyrylainen 🟨
67′
70′
🔁 N. Futkeu
↦ M. Mustapha
70′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ S. Bansé
Philipp Strompf 🟨
75′
D. Chessa 🔁
↦ M. Brandt
77′
F. Higl 🔁
↦ S. Telalović
77′
82′
🔁 R. Münz
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
82′
🔁 P. Müller
↦ R. Massimo
86′
🟨 Philipp Muller
N. Castelle 🔁
↦ M. Krattenmacher
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-1-2
1 N. Thiede G
7 B. Allgeier D
32 P. Strompf D
27 N. Kolbe D
19 J. Meier M
38 L. Hyryläinen M
23 M. Brandt M
16 A. Keller M
30 M. Krattenmacher F
9 L. Röser F
29 S. Telalović F
Bench (9)
22 A. Kahvić
5 J. Reichert
11 D. Chessa
33 F. Higl
44 N. Castelle
43 R. Rösch
12 M. Seybold
4 T. Gaal
10 A. Ludwig

Coach: T. Wörle

Greuther Furth

3-4-3
44 N. Noll G
4 D. Michalski D
33 M. Dietz D
27 G. Itter D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
6 S. Bansé M
37 J. Green M
17 N. Gießelmann M
10 B. Hrgota F
8 M. Mustapha F
11 R. Massimo F
Bench (9)
9 N. Futkeu
23 G. Jung
5 R. Münz
36 P. Müller
3 O. Mhamdi
34 D. Pfaffenrot
1 N. Körber
22 Nemanja Motika
19 M. Wagner

Coach: J. Siewert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,40
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Schwengers · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.