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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

Paderborn

S T S S S

7–2

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,7

3,0

Scored

3,5

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,8

3,5

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–2

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 16

9 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 2. · Holstein Kiel 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Paderborn	4	3	0	1	+7	9
3	Heidenheim	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Hamburg	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Holstein Kiel	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Regensburg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	St Pauli	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Hannover	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Kaiserslautern	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sandhausen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	-3	6
13	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Karlsruhe	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Greuther Furth	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Magdeburg	5	1	0	4	-8	3
17	Bielefeld	4	0	0	4	-7	0
18	Braunschweig	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Hannover	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Hamburg	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Bielefeld	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Magdeburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Heidenheim	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Hannover	3	1	0	2	+1	3
7	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Greuther Furth	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Karlsruhe	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Sandhausen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Bielefeld	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.