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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Aberdeen
U T T T T
6–2
Full-time
Livingston
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 19%
32%
5%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
27%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
32%
68%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

2,25 xG 1,82
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Livingston 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 22 15 5 2 +25 +7.7 50
2 Celtic 22 14 2 6 +18 +10.8 44
3 Rangers 22 12 8 2 +17 +4.6 44
4 Motherwell 22 9 10 3 +14 +6.7 37
5 Hibernian 22 9 8 5 +13 +2.0 35
6 Falkirk 22 8 6 8 -5 +0.4 30
7 Dundee United 22 5 10 7 -6 -7.2 25
8 Aberdeen 22 7 4 11 -8 -7.8 25
9 Dundee 22 6 4 12 -15 -6.0 22
10 St Mirren 22 4 7 11 -14 +2.4 19
11 Kilmarnock 22 2 8 12 -19 -7.6 14
12 Livingston 22 1 8 13 -20 -5.9 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aberdeen Livingston
1–0 K. Bilalovic
9′
Kevin Nisbet ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
19′
28′
M. Susoho 1–1
31′
R. Muirhead 1–2
42′
🟨 Macaulay Tait
Mats Knoester 🟨
43′
2–2 K. Nisbet
M. Frame
45′
3–2 K. Nisbet
T. Keskinen
45′
Half-time 3–2
46′
🔁 J. Zimmerman
↦ L. Smith
Nicky Devlin 🟨
47′
55′
🔁 B. Fati
↦ S. Lawal
55′
🔁 E. Danso
↦ M. Tait
Topi Keskinen 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 Connor McLennan
N. Milanovic 🔁
↦ K. Bilalovic
63′
A. Jensen 🔁
↦ N. Devlin
63′
65′
🔁 J. Bokila
↦ R. Muirhead
Jack Milne 🟥
69′
Graeme Shinnie 🟨
70′
70′
🟥 Jeremy Bokila
S. Nilsen 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
72′
4–2 S. Nilsen
S. Armstrong
75′
76′
🔁 A. Tamm
↦ C. McLennan
L. Clarkson 🔁
↦ S. Armstrong
81′
T. Olusanya 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
81′
5–2 T. Keskinen
G. Shinnie
85′
6–2 T. Keskinen
T. Olusanya
90′
Full-time 6–2

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
2 N. Devlin D
22 J. Milne D
5 M. Knoester D
3 M. Frame D
25 L. Cameron M
4 G. Shinnie M
14 K. Bilalovic M
16 S. Armstrong M
81 T. Keskinen M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
41 R. Vitols
6 S. Nilsen
7 A. Aouchiche
10 L. Clarkson
11 N. Milanovic
20 T. Olusanya
28 A. Jensen
27 M. Lazetic
38 D. Lobban

Coach: Peter Leven

Livingston

4-3-3
28 J. Prior G
30 J. Brenet D
19 D. Finlayson D
5 R. McGowan D
40 S. Lawal
25 M. Tait M
15 L. Smith M
7 M. Susoho M
11 C. McLennan F
9 R. Muirhead F
17 S. May F
Bench (9)
32 J. Smith
2 C. Kerr
3 B. Fati
8 S. Pittman
18 J. Bokila
20 E. Danso
21 A. Tamm
23 B. Kabongolo
29 J. Zimmerman

Coach: Marvin Bartley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,62
B
4,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.