Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | +57 | +38.9 | 50 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +18 | +13.3 | 39 |
| 3 |
Hoffenheim
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +14 | +3.5 | 33 |
| 4 |
Stuttgart
|
18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | +7 | +4.0 | 33 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +9 | +7.5 | 32 |
| 6 |
Leverkusen
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +9 | +8.8 | 29 |
| 7 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | -1 | -0.9 | 27 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -2 | +4.5 | 24 |
| 9 |
Union Berlin
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -3 | +0.5 | 24 |
| 10 |
FC Koln
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -3 | -2.3 | 20 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -6 | -4.2 | 20 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -11 | -6.3 | 19 |
| 13 |
Hamburg
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -10 | -5.4 | 18 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -13 | -9.6 | 18 |
| 15 |
Augsburg
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -15 | -12.2 | 16 |
| 16 |
St Pauli
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -15 | -14.7 | 13 |
| 17 |
Heidenheim
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -22 | -11.1 | 13 |
| 18 |
Mainz
|
18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -13 | -14.0 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Ramaj
G
L. Stergiou
D
P. Mainka
D
B. Gimber
D
J. Fohrenbach
D
J. Schoppner
M
A. Ibrahimovic
M
A. Beck
M
M. Honsak
M
M. Pieringer
F
Coach: Frank Schmidt
P. Gulacsi
G
R. Baku
D
W. Orban
D
E. Bitshiabu
D
D. Raum
D
X. Schlager
M
N. Seiwald
M
Y. Diomande
F
Romulo Cardoso
F
A. Nusa
F
Coach: Ole Werner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Mainz
Heidenheim
Heidenheim
FC Koln
Heidenheim
Bayern Munich
St Pauli
Heidenheim
Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.