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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Heidenheim
T T U T U
0–3
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
59%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
72%
59%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
47%
Average goals
3,1
3,4
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
2,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,95 xG 1,64
26% Possession 74%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heidenheim 17. · RB Leipzig 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 2 0 +57 +38.9 50
2 Dortmund 18 11 6 1 +18 +13.3 39
3 Hoffenheim 17 10 3 4 +14 +3.5 33
4 Stuttgart 18 10 3 5 +7 +4.0 33
5 RB Leipzig 17 10 2 5 +9 +7.5 32
6 Leverkusen 17 9 2 6 +9 +8.8 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 -1 -0.9 27
8 Freiburg 18 6 6 6 -2 +4.5 24
9 Union Berlin 18 6 6 6 -3 +0.5 24
10 FC Koln 18 5 5 8 -3 -2.3 20
11 M'gladbach 18 5 5 8 -6 -4.2 20
12 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 -11 -6.3 19
13 Hamburg 18 4 6 8 -10 -5.4 18
14 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 -13 -9.6 18
15 Augsburg 18 4 4 10 -15 -12.2 16
16 St Pauli 18 3 4 11 -15 -14.7 13
17 Heidenheim 18 3 4 11 -22 -11.1 13
18 Mainz 18 2 6 10 -13 -14.0 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heidenheim RB Leipzig
Half-time 0–1
62′
R. Baku 0–1
Y. Diomande
S. Conteh 🔁
↦ A. Ibrahimovic
63′
S. Schimmer 🔁
↦ A. Beck
63′
68′
A. Nusa 0–2
N. Seiwald
70′
D. Raum 0–3
Y. Diomande
71′
🔁 E. Banzuzi
↦ A. Nusa
72′
🔁 T. Gomis
↦ C. Baumgartner
H. Behrens 🔁
↦ M. Honsak
77′
L. Kerber 🔁
↦ M. Pieringer
77′
77′
🔁 M. Finkgrafe
↦ D. Raum
77′
🔁 A. Maksimovic
↦ E. Bitshiabu
J. Niehues 🔁
↦ J. Schoppner
84′
Benedikt Gimber 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ R. Baku
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-2-3-1
41 D. Ramaj G
25 L. Stergiou D
6 P. Mainka D
5 B. Gimber D
19 J. Fohrenbach D
3 J. Schoppner M
30 N. Dorsch M
22 A. Ibrahimovic M
21 A. Beck M
17 M. Honsak M
18 M. Pieringer F
Bench (9)
40 F. Feller
2 M. Busch
4 T. Siersleben
23 O. H. Traore
26 H. Behrens
16 J. Niehues
20 L. Kerber
31 S. Conteh
9 S. Schimmer

Coach: Frank Schmidt

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
1 P. Gulacsi G
17 R. Baku D
4 W. Orban D
5 E. Bitshiabu D
22 D. Raum D
24 X. Schlager M
13 N. Seiwald M
14 C. Baumgartner M
49 Y. Diomande F
40 Romulo Cardoso F
7 A. Nusa F
Bench (9)
26 M. Vandevoordt
16 L. Klostermann
19 K. Nedeljkovic
35 M. Finkgrafe
39 B. Henrichs
6 E. Banzuzi
33 A. Maksimovic
11 C. Harder
27 T. Gomis

Coach: Ole Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,08
U
4,31
B ✓
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.