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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Twente
S U U S S
0–0
Full-time
Excelsior
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
37%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,20 xG 0,99
65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 6. · Excelsior 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 2 1 +36 +19.3 53
2 Feyenoord 19 11 3 5 +20 +20.4 36
3 Nijmegen 19 10 5 4 +16 +6.8 35
4 Ajax 19 9 7 3 +11 +7.1 34
5 Groningen 18 9 4 5 +7 +10.6 31
6 Twente 19 7 8 4 +7 +20.1 29
7 AZ Alkmaar 19 8 5 6 +2 +13.2 29
8 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 2 8 -10 -2.9 29
9 Heerenveen 18 6 5 7 +1 +11.9 23
10 Zwolle 20 6 5 9 -16 -15.8 23
11 Utrecht 17 6 4 7 +4 -2.4 22
12 For Sittard 19 6 4 9 -5 -10.8 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 -3 -12.1 21
14 Excelsior 19 6 3 10 -15 -13.0 21
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 -14 -20.1 17
16 Telstar 19 3 7 9 -8 -8.6 16
17 NAC Breda 20 3 6 11 -11 -7.8 15
18 Heracles 19 4 2 13 -22 -16.0 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Excelsior
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Carlen
↦ C. Nadje
Mats Rots 🟨
55′
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
56′
S. Lammers 🔁
↦ K. Hlynsson
56′
65′
🔁 I. Bronkhorst
↦ N. Martens
65′
🔁 D. Sanches Fernandes
↦ M. Jonathans
D. Weidmann 🔁
↦ T. van den Belt
74′
76′
🔁 N. Naujoks
↦ L. Hartjes
76′
🔁 A. Zagre
↦ S. Janssen
80′
🟨 Adam Carlén
M. Kjolo 🔁
↦ R. Zerrouki
85′
A. Verschueren 🔁
↦ S. Orjasaeter
85′
89′
🔁 J. Bergraaf
↦ M. van Duinen
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
22 P. Tyton G
38 M. Bruns D
23 S. Lemkin D
43 R. Nijstad D
39 M. Rots D
6 R. Zerrouki M
20 T. van den Belt M
11 D. Rots M
14 K. Hlynsson M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
Bench (10)
21 S. Karssies
31 Y. Gerritsen
12 G. Peixoto
33 B. Titulaer
4 M. Kjolo
42 D. Weidmann
32 A. Verschueren
7 M. Pjaca
10 S. Lammers
37 N. Unuvar

Coach: John van den Brom

Excelsior

4-2-3-1
1 S. van Gassel G
17 N. Martens D
4 C. Widell D
5 S. Henderikx D
15 S. Janssen D
20 L. Hartjes M
18 C. Nadje M
26 M. Jonathans M
23 I. Yegoian M
11 G. de Regt M
29 M. van Duinen F
Bench (12)
16 C. Raatsie
2 I. Bronkhorst
3 R. Meissen
6 A. Carlen
7 E. Hansson
9 S. Wlodarczyk
10 N. Naujoks
12 A. Zagre
14 L. Schouten
25 S. Middendorp
30 D. Sanches Fernandes
33 J. Bergraaf

Coach: Ruben den Uil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,32
U ✓
5,16
B
8,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.