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LaLiga2

Referee: D Palencia

Ceuta

T U U U S

1–1

Full-time

Castellon

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches

Win Ø 43%

39%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

58%

53%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 2,49

50% Possession 50%

8 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ceuta 11. · Castellon 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Santander	38	22	6	10	+22	-1.1	72
2	La Coruna	39	20	11	8	+19	+1.2	71
3	Almeria	38	21	7	10	+20	+2.0	70
4	Las Palmas	38	18	12	8	+19	+2.4	66
5	Castellon	38	18	10	10	+17	+5.9	64
6	Malaga	38	18	9	11	+17	+6.3	63
7	Burgos	38	17	11	10	+11	+5.3	62
8	Eibar	38	17	10	11	+11	+6.4	61
9	Cordoba	38	16	9	13	-2	+4.1	57
10	Andorra	38	15	10	13	+8	+2.0	55
11	Ceuta	38	15	9	14	-12	-14.4	54
12	Sp Gijon	38	15	7	16	+2	+1.9	52
13	Albacete	38	13	11	14	-2	+2.0	50
14	Granada	38	12	12	14	-1	+0.7	48
15	Valladolid	38	11	10	17	-9	+2.2	43
16	Leganes	38	10	12	16	-5	+3.1	42
17	Sociedad B	38	11	9	18	-8	-9.3	42
18	Cadiz	39	10	9	20	-20	-6.7	39
19	Huesca	38	9	9	20	-20	-0.4	36
20	Mirandes	38	9	9	20	-22	-4.9	36
21	Zaragoza	38	8	11	19	-18	+2.9	35
22	Cultural Leonesa	38	8	9	21	-27	-11.5	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Almeria	19	14	2	3	+22	+7.1	44
2	Eibar	20	13	4	3	+18	+10.4	43
3	Santander	19	13	2	4	+20	+3.7	41
4	Las Palmas	20	12	5	3	+19	+3.2	41
5	Malaga	19	11	6	2	+17	+5.3	39
6	Castellon	19	12	3	4	+16	+1.2	39
7	Sp Gijon	20	10	6	4	+11	+3.0	36
8	Ceuta	18	11	3	4	+7	+0.4	36
9	La Coruna	19	10	5	4	+9	+1.4	35
10	Burgos	19	9	7	3	+12	+6.6	34
11	Huesca	19	7	7	5	+1	+1.1	28
12	Cordoba	18	8	4	6	+0	+1.3	28
13	Andorra	19	7	6	6	+4	+2.9	27
14	Sociedad B	19	7	6	6	+2	-1.4	27
15	Granada	19	6	8	5	+5	+3.5	26
16	Valladolid	19	7	5	7	+2	+4.0	26
17	Albacete	19	7	4	8	-5	-0.2	25
18	Leganes	18	6	5	7	+0	+7.5	23
19	Mirandes	19	5	5	9	-10	-1.4	20
20	Cadiz	20	6	2	12	-10	-1.9	20
21	Zaragoza	19	4	6	9	-9	+6.1	18
22	Cultural Leonesa	19	3	5	11	-16	+1.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	La Coruna	20	10	6	4	+10	-0.3	36
2	Santander	19	9	4	6	+2	-4.8	31
3	Cordoba	20	8	5	7	-2	+2.8	29
4	Andorra	19	8	4	7	+4	-0.9	28
5	Burgos	19	8	4	7	-1	-1.3	28
6	Almeria	19	7	5	7	-2	-5.1	26
7	Albacete	19	6	7	6	+3	+2.2	25
8	Castellon	19	6	7	6	+1	+4.7	25
9	Las Palmas	18	6	7	5	+0	-0.8	25
10	Malaga	19	7	3	9	+0	+0.9	24
11	Granada	19	6	4	9	-6	-2.9	22
12	Leganes	20	4	7	9	-5	-4.4	19
13	Cadiz	19	4	7	8	-10	-4.8	19
14	Cultural Leonesa	19	5	4	10	-11	-12.7	19
15	Eibar	18	4	6	8	-7	-4.0	18
16	Ceuta	20	4	6	10	-19	-14.9	18
17	Zaragoza	19	4	5	10	-9	-3.2	17
18	Valladolid	19	4	5	10	-11	-1.9	17
19	Sp Gijon	18	5	1	12	-9	-1.0	16
20	Mirandes	19	4	4	11	-12	-3.5	16
21	Sociedad B	19	4	3	12	-10	-7.9	15
22	Huesca	19	2	2	15	-21	-1.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.