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Süper Lig

Referee: A D Kayatepe

Kocaelispor

U U U T U

0–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kocaelispor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 24%

28%

19%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

28%

47%

Both score Ø 44%

41%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,5

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,34 xG 0,31

65% Possession 35%

8 Shots 6

0 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kocaelispor 11. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	32	23	5	4	+46	+32.1	74
2	Fenerbahce	32	20	10	2	+37	+31.6	70
3	Trabzonspor	32	19	9	4	+24	+9.0	66
4	Besiktas	32	17	8	7	+20	+26.1	59
5	Goztep	32	13	13	6	+12	+9.2	52
6	Buyuksehyr	32	14	9	9	+19	+6.3	51
7	Samsunspor	32	12	12	8	+1	+6.8	48
8	Konyaspor	32	10	10	12	-3	-1.7	40
9	Rizespor	33	10	10	13	-6	-1.3	40
10	Alanyaspor	33	7	16	10	+1	-8.5	37
11	Kocaelispor	32	9	10	13	-10	-2.2	37
12	Gaziantep	32	9	10	13	-13	-3.6	37
13	Eyüpspor	33	8	8	17	-15	-18.2	32
14	Kasimpasa	32	7	11	14	-16	-14.4	32
15	Antalyaspor	32	7	8	17	-21	-24.6	29
16	Genclerbirligi	32	7	7	18	-15	-17.3	28
17	Kayserispor	33	5	12	16	-36	-13.9	27
18	Karagumruk	32	6	6	20	-25	-15.5	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	12	4	0	+30	+22.5	40
2	Fenerbahce	16	11	5	0	+21	+24.6	38
3	Trabzonspor	16	9	6	1	+14	+7.2	33
4	Besiktas	16	9	4	3	+11	+17.8	31
5	Goztep	16	7	7	2	+9	+9.2	28
6	Buyuksehyr	16	7	6	3	+13	+3.4	27
7	Rizespor	16	8	2	6	+1	+6.5	26
8	Samsunspor	16	6	7	3	+2	+6.6	25
9	Konyaspor	16	6	6	4	+5	+3.6	24
10	Alanyaspor	17	6	5	6	+6	-2.3	23
11	Kocaelispor	16	6	5	5	+3	+7.0	23
12	Genclerbirligi	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.1	22
13	Gaziantep	16	5	5	6	-4	+4.9	20
14	Eyüpspor	17	5	4	8	-2	-3.5	19
15	Kasimpasa	16	4	6	6	-5	-0.0	18
16	Karagumruk	16	5	3	8	-6	-2.0	18
17	Antalyaspor	16	4	4	8	-12	-7.6	16
18	Kayserispor	16	4	4	8	-18	-1.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	16	11	1	4	+16	+9.6	34
2	Trabzonspor	16	10	3	3	+10	+1.8	33
3	Fenerbahce	16	9	5	2	+16	+7.0	32
4	Besiktas	16	8	4	4	+9	+8.3	28
5	Buyuksehyr	16	7	3	6	+6	+2.9	24
6	Goztep	16	6	6	4	+3	-0.0	24
7	Samsunspor	16	6	5	5	-1	+0.2	23
8	Gaziantep	16	4	5	7	-9	-8.5	17
9	Konyaspor	16	4	4	8	-8	-5.3	16
10	Alanyaspor	16	1	11	4	-5	-6.1	14
11	Rizespor	17	2	8	7	-7	-7.8	14
12	Kasimpasa	16	3	5	8	-11	-14.4	14
13	Kocaelispor	16	3	5	8	-13	-9.2	14
14	Antalyaspor	16	3	4	9	-9	-17.0	13
15	Eyüpspor	16	3	4	9	-13	-14.7	13
16	Kayserispor	17	1	8	8	-18	-12.2	11
17	Genclerbirligi	16	1	3	12	-14	-16.2	6
18	Karagumruk	16	1	3	12	-19	-13.5	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.