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Ligue 2

Troyes

S T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 45%

58%

31%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

50%

27%

Both score Ø 45%

54%

35%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 1. · Ajaccio 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	26	15	7	4	+17	52
2	Clermont	26	14	7	5	+22	49
3	Toulouse	26	14	7	5	+18	49
4	Grenoble	26	14	6	6	+14	48
5	Auxerre	26	12	8	6	+18	44
6	Paris FC	26	11	8	7	+6	41
7	Sochaux	26	9	11	6	+10	38
8	Valenciennes	26	9	9	8	+3	36
9	Caen	26	8	10	8	-4	34
10	Le Havre	26	8	10	8	-6	34
11	Amiens	26	8	9	9	+0	33
12	Niort	26	8	9	9	-9	33
13	Ajaccio	26	8	8	10	-10	32
14	Rodez	26	6	12	8	-7	30
15	Nancy	26	6	10	10	-5	28
16	Dunkerque	26	7	6	13	-11	27
17	Guingamp	26	4	13	9	-7	25
18	Chambly	26	5	8	13	-17	23
19	Pau FC	26	5	6	15	-16	21
20	Chateauroux	26	4	6	16	-16	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	13	10	3	0	+14	33
2	Clermont	13	9	3	1	+18	30
3	Grenoble	12	9	3	0	+17	30
4	Auxerre	13	8	3	2	+19	27
5	Toulouse	13	8	3	2	+12	27
6	Paris FC	13	7	4	2	+6	25
7	Caen	13	5	6	2	+1	21
8	Niort	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Rodez	14	5	5	4	+0	20
10	Sochaux	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Valenciennes	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Ajaccio	13	5	4	4	-1	19
13	Amiens	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Dunkerque	13	4	4	5	+1	16
15	Le Havre	13	3	7	3	-1	16
16	Nancy	13	3	6	4	-2	15
17	Chambly	14	4	2	8	-7	14
18	Guingamp	13	2	7	4	-2	13
19	Pau FC	12	3	4	5	-3	13
20	Chateauroux	13	3	2	8	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	6	4	3	+6	22
2	Sochaux	13	4	7	2	+7	19
3	Clermont	13	5	4	4	+4	19
4	Troyes	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Grenoble	14	5	3	6	-3	18
6	Le Havre	13	5	3	5	-5	18
7	Valenciennes	13	4	5	4	+1	17
8	Auxerre	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Paris FC	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Amiens	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-3	13
12	Caen	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Ajaccio	13	3	4	6	-9	13
14	Niort	13	3	4	6	-11	13
15	Guingamp	13	2	6	5	-5	12
16	Dunkerque	13	3	2	8	-12	11
17	Rodez	12	1	7	4	-7	10
18	Chambly	12	1	6	5	-10	9
19	Pau FC	14	2	2	10	-13	8
20	Chateauroux	13	1	4	8	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.