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Ligue 2

Pau FC

S U S U S

0–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 34/35 matches

Win Ø 30%

29%

31%

Points per game

1,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

41%

31%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

34%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 14. · Ajaccio 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	35	21	8	6	+22	71
2	Clermont	35	19	9	7	+34	66
3	Toulouse	34	18	8	8	+25	62
4	Grenoble	35	17	10	8	+16	61
5	Paris FC	36	16	12	8	+13	60
6	Auxerre	35	15	12	8	+20	57
7	Sochaux	35	12	15	8	+12	51
8	Nancy	35	11	12	12	+2	45
9	Amiens	35	11	12	12	-3	45
10	Valenciennes	35	11	11	13	-8	44
11	Ajaccio	35	11	10	14	-9	43
12	Rodez	35	8	17	10	-5	41
13	Le Havre	34	9	14	11	-10	41
14	Pau FC	34	10	9	15	-7	39
15	Niort	35	9	12	14	-22	39
16	Guingamp	35	7	17	11	-9	38
17	Dunkerque	35	9	10	16	-12	37
18	Caen	35	8	13	14	-13	37
19	Chambly	35	7	11	17	-23	32
20	Chateauroux	35	4	10	21	-23	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	18	14	3	1	+15	45
2	Clermont	18	12	5	1	+26	41
3	Toulouse	17	12	3	2	+23	39
4	Grenoble	17	11	6	0	+21	39
5	Auxerre	18	10	5	3	+20	35
6	Paris FC	18	10	5	3	+10	35
7	Ajaccio	18	8	5	5	+4	29
8	Pau FC	17	8	4	5	+6	28
9	Amiens	17	7	7	3	+6	28
10	Valenciennes	18	7	6	5	+3	27
11	Rodez	18	6	8	4	+3	26
12	Sochaux	18	6	7	5	+3	25
13	Nancy	17	6	7	4	+2	25
14	Caen	17	5	8	4	-3	23
15	Niort	17	6	5	6	-6	23
16	Dunkerque	17	5	7	5	+3	22
17	Chambly	18	6	3	9	-7	21
18	Guingamp	18	3	10	5	-6	19
19	Le Havre	16	3	8	5	-5	17
20	Chateauroux	17	3	4	10	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	17	6	8	3	+9	26
2	Troyes	17	7	5	5	+7	26
3	Clermont	17	7	4	6	+8	25
4	Paris FC	18	6	7	5	+3	25
5	Le Havre	18	6	6	6	-5	24
6	Toulouse	17	6	5	6	+2	23
7	Auxerre	17	5	7	5	+0	22
8	Grenoble	18	6	4	8	-5	22
9	Nancy	18	5	5	8	+0	20
10	Guingamp	17	4	7	6	-3	19
11	Amiens	18	4	5	9	-9	17
12	Valenciennes	17	4	5	8	-11	17
13	Niort	18	3	7	8	-16	16
14	Rodez	17	2	9	6	-8	15
15	Dunkerque	18	4	3	11	-15	15
16	Caen	18	3	5	10	-10	14
17	Ajaccio	17	3	5	9	-13	14
18	Pau FC	17	2	5	10	-13	11
19	Chambly	17	1	8	8	-16	11
20	Chateauroux	18	1	6	11	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.