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Ligue 1

Referee: Thomas Leonard

Caen

U T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Dijon

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Dijon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

1,3

3,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 9. · Dijon 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Monaco	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Bordeaux	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	St Etienne	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Marseille	4	2	1	1	-1	7
7	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Nice	5	2	0	3	+1	6
9	Caen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Guingamp	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Toulouse	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Lille	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Strasbourg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Dijon	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Rennes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Nice	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Bordeaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
8	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Lille	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Caen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Dijon	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Angers	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Metz	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Caen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Bordeaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
7	Troyes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Marseille	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Lille	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Strasbourg	3	0	1	2	-6	1
16	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.