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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Niort
T T U T S
1–4
Full-time
Bastia
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Niort Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

57% Possession 43%
18 Shots 16
8 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Niort 5. · Bastia 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Laval 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Caen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Bordeaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Grenoble 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sochaux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 St Etienne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Nimes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Annecy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Niort Bastia
1′
Dylan Tavares 0–1
S. Salles-Lamonge
2′
F. Magri 0–2
C. Vincent
21′
A. Ndiaye 0–3
C. Vincent
23′
🟨 Kylian Kaiboue
24′
F. Magri 0–4
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ Nacim El Hassani
28′
Half-time 0–4
Moataz Zemzemi 🟨
51′
K. Rocheteau 🔁
↦ Y. Merdji
56′
S. Cissé 🔁
↦ G. Bentil
78′
J. Olaitan 🔁
↦ M. Zemzemi
78′
80′
🟨 Johny Placide
1–4 B. Boutobba
82′
83′
🔁 A. Roncaglia
↦ T. Ducrocq
83′
🔁 B. Santelli
↦ M. Alfarela
89′
🔁 A. Talal
↦ F. Magri
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Niort

4-2-3-1
1 M. Michel G
29 J. Moutachy D
4 Ibrahima Sory Conté II D
5 G. Kilama D
21 L. Vallier D
28 Nacim El Hassani M
26 S. Benchamma M
10 B. Boutobba M
7 M. Zemzemi M
11 Y. Merdji M
8 G. Bentil F
Bench (7)
20 A. Sagna
9 K. Rocheteau
23 S. Cissé
15 J. Olaitan
18 B. M'bondo
16 J. Louchet
17 S. Renel

Coach: S. Desabre

Bastia

3-5-2
30 J. Placide G
28 J. Sainati D
25 A. Ndiaye D
20 K. Kaïboué D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
13 T. Ducrocq M
7 C. Vincent M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge M
42 Dylan Tavares M
27 M. Alfarela F
11 F. Magri F
Bench (7)
4 A. Roncaglia
9 B. Santelli
14 A. Talal
8 K. Schur
86 A. Robic
1 Z. Boucher
23 L. Palun

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U
2,91
B ✓
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,61
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.