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Ligue 2
Referee: B Dechepy
Bastia
S T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Rodez
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 8. · Rodez 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dijon 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Caen 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Guingamp 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Bordeaux 5 2 2 1 +3 8
6 Metz 5 2 1 2 +3 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Bastia 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Niort 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +5 5
11 Paris FC 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Valenciennes 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Grenoble 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Sochaux 4 1 1 2 +1 4
15 Nimes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
17 Rodez 4 0 2 2 -4 2
18 St Etienne 4 0 2 2 -7 2
19 Pau FC 4 0 2 2 -7 2
20 Annecy 4 0 1 3 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bastia Rodez
Tom Ducrocq 🟨
5′
21′
🟨 Marvin Senaya
Half-time 0–1
52′
C. Dépres 0–1
Dominique Guidi 🟨
55′
A. Talal 🔁
↦ T. Ducrocq
61′
K. Schur 🔁
↦ J. Sainati
62′
64′
🔁 H. Far
↦ C. Dépres
71′
H. Far 0–2
K. Corredor
73′
🔁 G. Coelho
↦ M. Senaya
73′
🔁 L. Rajot
↦ A. Valério
Christophe Vincent 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 N. Ouammou
↦ Plamedi Buni Jorge
A. Robic 🔁
↦ Dylan Tavares
78′
82′
🟨 Joris Chougrani
L. Palun 🔁
↦ D. Guidi
82′
83′
🟨 Sébastien Cibois
84′
🟨 Grégory Coelho
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bastia

3-5-2
30 J. Placide G
28 J. Sainati D
25 A. Ndiaye D
6 D. Guidi D
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof M
13 T. Ducrocq M
7 C. Vincent M
10 S. Salles-Lamonge M
42 Dylan Tavares M
9 B. Santelli F
27 M. Alfarela F
Bench (6)
14 A. Talal
8 K. Schur
86 A. Robic
23 L. Palun
1 Z. Boucher
4 A. Roncaglia

Coach: R. Brouard

Rodez

3-5-2
1 S. Cibois G
22 L. Mouyokolo D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
20 M. Senaya M
18 A. Valério M
14 B. Danger M
17 Plamedi Buni Jorge M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
25 C. Dépres F
Bench (7)
27 H. Far
29 G. Coelho
8 L. Rajot
7 N. Ouammou
24 A. Pembélé
16 L. M'Pasi
5 K. Boma

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,99
U
3,02
B ✓
4,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,82
U2,5 ✓
1,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.