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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Dijon
S T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Caen
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 5. · Caen 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Guingamp 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Caen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Paris FC 3 1 2 0 +1 5
4 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Dijon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Valenciennes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Grenoble 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Metz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Bastia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Niort 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Amiens 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 St Etienne 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Nimes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Quevilly Rouen 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Le Havre 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Rodez 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Pau FC 2 0 1 1 -4 1
20 Annecy 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Caen
Half-time 0–0
Xande Silva 🔁
↦ W. Nassi Ouled Bentle
46′
Mickaël Le Bihan 🟨
47′
49′
Alexandre Mendy 0–1
1–1 Xande Silva
B. Soumaré
60′
61′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ C. Zady Sery
61′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ S. Essende
Daniel Congré 🟨
66′
O. Thioune 🔁
↦ I. Camara
66′
M. Ahlinvi 🔁
↦ J. Marié
67′
76′
🟨 Quentin Daubin
77′
🔁 Y. Court
↦ Q. Daubin
77′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ Alexandre Mendy
Ousseynou Thioune 🟨
79′
R. Assalé 🔁
↦ M. Le Bihan
86′
87′
C. Traoré 2–1
own goal
89′
🟨 Ali Abdi
3–1 B. Soumaré
90′
S. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ B. Soumaré
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dijon

4-2-3-1
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Traoré D
32 Z. Touré D
3 D. Congré D
13 C. Rocchia D
14 J. Marié M
20 D. Ndong M
28 B. Soumaré M
8 M. Le Bihan M
22 W. Nassi Ouled Bentle M
18 I. Camara F
Bench (7)
10 Xande Silva
93 O. Thioune
6 M. Ahlinvi
77 R. Assalé
5 S. Coulibaly
92 A. Ngouyamsa
16 S. Allagbé

Coach: O. Daf

Caen

3-5-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 A. Teikeu D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
24 H. Vandermersch M
6 Q. Daubin M
28 D. Diani M
10 C. Zady Sery M
2 A. Abdi M
99 S. Essende F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
17 G. Kyeremeh
21 B. Brahimi
11 Y. Court
9 B. Jeannot
22 B. Traoré
23 J. Obiang
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U ✓
3,16
B
2,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.