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Ligue 2
Referee: B Millot
Metz
T S T S U
1–2
Full-time
Dijon
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
10 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Metz 5. · Dijon 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Amiens 4 3 0 1 +1 9
3 Bordeaux 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Dijon 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Metz 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Guingamp 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Laval 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Bastia 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Niort 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +5 5
11 Paris FC 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Valenciennes 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Grenoble 4 1 2 1 -2 5
14 Sochaux 4 1 1 2 +1 4
15 Nimes 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Quevilly Rouen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
17 Rodez 4 0 2 2 -4 2
18 St Etienne 4 0 2 2 -7 2
19 Pau FC 4 0 2 2 -7 2
20 Annecy 4 0 1 3 -3 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Dijon
29′
Xande Silva 0–1
B. Soumaré
35′
🟨 Christopher Rocchia
Kévin N'Doram 🟨
40′
Ibrahima Niane 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Didier N'Dong
57′
🟨 Jordan Marié
59′
M. Le Bihan 0–2
Y. Maziz 🔁
↦ K. NDoram
64′
66′
🟨 Xande Silva
66′
🟨 Christopher Rocchia
66′
🟥 Christopher Rocchia
Georges Mikautadze 🟨
68′
70′
🔁 A. Ngouyamsa
↦ J. Marié
Vagner 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
78′
K. Kouao 🔁
↦ W. Mikelbrencis
78′
1–2 L. Gueye
Y. Maziz
78′
81′
🔁 D. Congré
↦ D. Ndong
81′
🔁 V. Jacob
↦ Xande Silva
Lamine Gueye 🟨
83′
L. Joseph 🔁
↦ L. Gueye
88′
88′
🔁 J. Pi
↦ O. Thioune
88′
🔁 I. Camara
↦ B. Soumaré
D. Jean Jacques 🔁
↦ H. Maïga
89′
Fali Candé 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
30 M. Caillard G
25 W. Mikelbrencis D
86 I. Traoré D
5 Fali Candé D
3 M. Udol D
6 K. N'Doram M
19 H. Maïga M
20 L. Gueye M
9 G. Mikautadze M
36 A. Jallow M
7 I. Niane F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Maziz
77 Vagner
39 K. Kouao
24 L. Joseph
27 D. Jean Jacques
15 A. Lô
40 O. Ba

Coach: L. Bölöni

Dijon

4-3-3
30 B. Reynet G
27 C. Traoré D
5 S. Coulibaly D
32 Z. Touré D
13 C. Rocchia D
20 D. Ndong M
93 O. Thioune M
14 J. Marié M
28 B. Soumaré F
8 M. Le Bihan F
10 Xande Silva F
Bench (7)
92 A. Ngouyamsa
3 D. Congré
11 V. Jacob
25 J. Pi
18 I. Camara
22 W. Nassi Ouled Bentle
16 S. Allagbé

Coach: O. Daf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,28
B ✓
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.