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Ligue 2
Referee: M Lesage
Rodez
T T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Valenciennes
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
43%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 31%
33%
29%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
22 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 19. · Valenciennes 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 8 4 2 2 +7 14
2 Amiens 7 4 2 1 +2 14
3 Sochaux 7 4 1 2 +8 13
4 Le Havre 7 3 3 1 +8 12
5 Caen 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Valenciennes 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Metz 7 3 2 2 +6 11
8 Dijon 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 St Etienne 8 2 4 2 +0 10
11 Grenoble 7 2 3 2 -2 9
12 Bastia 7 3 0 4 -4 9
13 Nimes 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Paris FC 7 1 4 2 -2 7
15 Laval 7 2 1 4 -4 7
16 Quevilly Rouen 7 1 4 2 -4 7
17 Niort 7 2 1 4 -6 7
18 Annecy 7 1 3 3 -1 6
19 Rodez 6 1 2 3 -5 5
20 Pau FC 7 0 4 3 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Valenciennes
42′
🟨 Mathieu Debuchy
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Picouleau
↦ Y. El Amri
Marvin Senaya 🟨
49′
51′
🔁 N. Diliberto
↦ J. Masson
1–0 K. Corredor
A. Abdallah
52′
Remy Boissier 🟨
61′
Joseph Mendes 🔁
↦ C. Dépres
61′
65′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ A. Zinga
Remy Boissier 🟨
70′
Remy Boissier 🟥
70′
73′
M. Noubissi 1–1
M. Picouleau
N. Ouammou 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
80′
A. Valério 🔁
↦ L. Rajot
80′
L. Mouyokolo 🔁
↦ É. Vandenabeele
87′
87′
🔁 L. Nomel
↦ J. Berthomier
94′
🟨 Mathis Picouleau
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. M'Pasi G
2 É. Vandenabeele D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
21 J. Chougrani D
20 M. Senaya M
8 L. Rajot M
14 B. Danger M
6 R. Boissier M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
25 C. Dépres F
Bench (7)
11 Joseph Mendes
7 N. Ouammou
18 A. Valério
22 L. Mouyokolo
27 H. Far
9 Park Jung-Bin
1 S. Cibois

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Valenciennes

4-4-2
1 G. Larsonneur G
14 J. Cuffaut D
26 M. Debuchy D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
5 J. Berthomier M
21 M. Kaba M
6 J. Masson M
22 Y. El Amri M
9 M. Noubissi F
15 A. Zinga F
Bench (7)
27 M. Picouleau
8 N. Diliberto
11 U. Bonnet
18 L. Nomel
37 M. Rabuel
16 H. Konaté
36 E. Viegbe

Coach: N. Rabuel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
U ✓
2,99
B
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,53
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.