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Coupe de France
Referee: G Henry
2–2
Full-time
Caen
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
19 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
20 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
21 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
22 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
23 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
54 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Saint-Malo Caen
1–0 S. Barroug
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ S. Essende
46′
🔁 J. Obiang
↦ H. Vandermersch
51′
🔁 H. Mbock
↦ I. Cissé
B. Cisse 🟥
63′
65′
J. Deminguet 1–1
S. Touré 🔁
↦ S. Valla
66′
74′
🔁 N. Bassette
↦ G. Kyeremeh
A. Taipa 🔁
↦ J. Bérénice
77′
C. Kitenge Ona Kasongo 🔁
↦ S. Papin
77′
77′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ J. Deminguet
84′
Alexandre Mendy 1–2
M. Sagna Tendeng 🔁
↦ F. Héry
90′
2–2 F. Héry
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Saint-Malo

N. Yavorsky
F. Héry
T. Cillard
A. Leroyer
A. Le Nédic
B. Cissé
G. Heinry
S. Papin
S. Valla
J. Bérénice
S. Barroug
Bench (7)
S. Touré
A. Taipa
C. Kitenge Ona Kasongo
M. Sagna Tendeng
C. Escandre
T. Hungbo
P. Jehanno

Coach: A. El Kouraichi

Caen

A. Mandréa
R. Thomas
A. Teikeu
A. Abdi
I. Cissé
H. Vandermersch
D. Diani
J. Deminguet
G. Kyeremeh
Alexandre Mendy
S. Essende
Bench (7)
B. Jeannot
J. Obiang
H. Mbock
N. Bassette
B. Brahimi
Y. Clementia
Y. Court

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.