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Ligue 2

Referee: J Brisard

Bordeaux

S U U S S

2–0

Full-time

Bastia

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

52%

48%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

41%

31%

Both score Ø 41%

48%

34%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bordeaux 2. · Bastia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	29	16	12	1	+26	60
2	Bordeaux	29	15	8	6	+17	53
3	Metz	29	14	9	6	+18	51
4	Sochaux	29	14	7	8	+20	49
5	Bastia	29	14	6	9	+3	48
6	Caen	29	12	10	7	+6	46
7	Grenoble	29	12	8	9	+4	44
8	Paris FC	29	11	7	11	+0	40
9	St Etienne	29	10	9	10	+0	39
10	Quevilly Rouen	29	10	9	10	+0	39
11	Guingamp	29	10	8	11	-2	38
12	Amiens	29	10	7	12	-6	37
13	Rodez	29	8	10	11	-7	34
14	Valenciennes	29	7	12	10	-7	33
15	Annecy	29	8	9	12	-8	33
16	Pau FC	29	8	9	12	-10	33
17	Laval	29	9	4	16	-11	31
18	Nimes	29	8	5	16	-11	29
19	Dijon	29	6	8	15	-11	26
20	Niort	29	7	5	17	-21	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	9	5	0	+14	32
2	Caen	15	9	5	1	+13	32
3	Sochaux	15	9	4	2	+18	31
4	Bastia	15	9	2	4	+7	29
5	Bordeaux	14	8	4	2	+10	28
6	Grenoble	15	8	4	3	+5	28
7	Metz	15	7	6	2	+8	27
8	St Etienne	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Valenciennes	15	5	9	1	+5	24
10	Nimes	14	7	1	6	+3	22
11	Quevilly Rouen	14	5	6	3	+5	21
12	Amiens	14	6	3	5	+1	21
13	Annecy	14	6	3	5	+0	21
14	Dijon	15	5	5	5	+0	20
15	Laval	14	5	2	7	-1	17
16	Pau FC	14	4	5	5	-4	17
17	Niort	14	5	2	7	-6	17
18	Paris FC	14	4	3	7	-2	15
19	Guingamp	15	4	3	8	-4	15
20	Rodez	15	3	5	7	-9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	15	7	7	1	+12	28
2	Bordeaux	15	7	4	4	+7	25
3	Paris FC	15	7	4	4	+2	25
4	Metz	14	7	3	4	+10	24
5	Guingamp	14	6	5	3	+2	23
6	Rodez	14	5	5	4	+2	20
7	Bastia	14	5	4	5	-4	19
8	Sochaux	14	5	3	6	+2	18
9	Quevilly Rouen	15	5	3	7	-5	18
10	Grenoble	14	4	4	6	-1	16
11	Pau FC	15	4	4	7	-6	16
12	Amiens	15	4	4	7	-7	16
13	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-4	14
14	Caen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	Laval	15	4	2	9	-10	14
16	Annecy	15	2	6	7	-8	12
17	Valenciennes	14	2	3	9	-12	9
18	Niort	15	2	3	10	-15	9
19	Nimes	15	1	4	10	-14	7
20	Dijon	14	1	3	10	-11	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.