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Ligue 2
Referee: A Kherradji
Caen
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
St Etienne
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
80%
20%
Points per game
2,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
20%
60%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 1. · St Etienne 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 5 4 0 1 +8 12
2 Amiens 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Laval 5 3 1 1 +1 10
4 Grenoble 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Bastia 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Angers 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Pau FC 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Troyes 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Annecy 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Ajaccio 5 1 3 1 -2 6
14 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 St Etienne 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Valenciennes 5 1 2 2 -5 5
18 Paris FC 5 1 0 4 -5 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Concarneau 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Caen St Etienne
29′
F. Tardieu 0–1
Valentin Henry 🟨
35′
A. Coeff 🔁
↦ E. Ntim
44′
Half-time 0–1
M. Le Bihan 🔁
↦ D. Bolumbu
46′
G. Kyeremeh 🔁
↦ C. Zady Sery
62′
Ali Abdi 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ B. Bouchouari
68′
🔁 I. Sissoko
↦ G. Charbonnier
68′
🔁 M. Bentayg
↦ S. Diarra
Anthony Mandrea 🟨
76′
76′
🟨 Lamine Fomba
T. Gomis 🔁
↦ M. Autret
76′
H. Mbock 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
76′
79′
🔁 V. Lobry
↦ M. Cafaro
79′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ L. Fomba
88′
I. Sissoko 0–2
D. Appiah
1–2 Alexandre Mendy
A. Coeff
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Caen

4-4-2
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
3 D. Bolumbu D
10 C. Zady Sery M
6 Q. Daubin M
61 B. Traoré M
2 A. Abdi M
23 M. Autret F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
92 A. Coeff
11 M. Le Bihan
17 G. Kyeremeh
7 T. Gomis
18 H. Mbock
16 Y. Clémentia
28 D. Diani

Coach: J. Furlan

St Etienne

4-3-3
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
21 D. Batubinsika D
23 A. Briançon D
19 L. Pétrot D
26 L. Fomba M
5 F. Tardieu M
6 B. Bouchouari M
18 M. Cafaro F
10 G. Charbonnier F
17 S. Diarra F
Bench (7)
29 A. Moueffek
9 I. Sissoko
13 M. Bentayg
22 V. Lobry
20 M. Rivera
32 K. Cissé
42 E. Green

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
3,58
B ✓
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kherradji · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.