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Ligue 2

Referee: A Petit

Troyes

U U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Guingamp

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

14%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 17. · Guingamp 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	14	9	2	3	+6	29
2	Angers	14	8	3	3	+9	27
3	Auxerre	14	7	4	3	+14	25
4	Grenoble	14	6	6	2	+4	24
5	St Etienne	15	7	3	5	+2	24
6	Ajaccio	14	6	5	3	+3	23
7	Pau FC	14	6	4	4	+0	22
8	Guingamp	14	5	6	3	+7	21
9	Rodez	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Amiens	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Concarneau	13	5	3	5	-2	18
12	Paris FC	14	5	2	7	-2	17
13	Caen	14	4	4	6	+2	16
14	Bastia	14	4	4	6	-5	16
15	Bordeaux	14	4	4	6	-6	16
16	Annecy	14	3	6	5	-5	15
17	Troyes	14	2	7	5	-2	13
18	Dunkerque	14	3	3	8	-9	12
19	Quevilly Rouen	14	2	5	7	-4	11
20	Valenciennes	14	1	6	7	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Ajaccio	7	4	3	0	+6	15
3	Laval	7	5	0	2	+1	15
4	Rodez	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Pau FC	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Bastia	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Guingamp	7	3	3	1	+7	12
8	Grenoble	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Amiens	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Auxerre	7	3	2	2	+7	11
11	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	St Etienne	8	3	2	3	+2	11
13	Paris FC	7	3	1	3	+2	10
14	Caen	7	2	2	3	+2	8
15	Troyes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
16	Concarneau	6	2	2	2	-1	8
17	Annecy	7	1	4	2	-2	7
18	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	2	4	-2	5
19	Valenciennes	7	0	3	4	-6	3
20	Dunkerque	7	0	2	5	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	7	4	2	1	+7	14
2	Laval	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	St Etienne	7	4	1	2	+0	13
4	Grenoble	7	3	3	1	+2	12
5	Angers	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Concarneau	7	3	1	3	-1	10
7	Dunkerque	7	3	1	3	-3	10
8	Guingamp	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Caen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Annecy	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Ajaccio	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Paris FC	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Amiens	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Rodez	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Valenciennes	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Troyes	8	0	5	3	-3	5
19	Bordeaux	7	1	2	4	-8	5
20	Bastia	7	0	3	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.