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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
0–0
Full-time
Charleroi
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 16/19 matches
Win Ø 18%
19%
16%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
63%
58%
Both score Ø 72%
69%
74%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,98 xG 0,29
67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 6
0 Shots on target 0
9 Blocked shots 2
13 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Charleroi 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 16 13 2 1 +22 +17.8 41
2 Club Brugge 18 11 4 3 +31 +31.9 37
3 Cercle Brugge 16 12 1 3 +17 +12.3 37
4 Anderlecht 16 10 5 1 +16 +10.4 35
5 Antwerp 16 8 6 2 +25 +17.5 30
6 Genk 16 7 6 3 +18 +21.6 27
7 Gent 15 6 5 4 +5 +7.4 23
8 Mechelen 17 6 5 6 +0 -2.4 23
9 Westerlo 18 5 5 8 -5 -7.3 20
10 Standard 17 4 7 6 -7 -9.1 19
11 St Truiden 16 4 6 6 -10 -6.3 18
12 RWD Molenbeek 21 4 5 12 -28 -29.2 17
13 Charleroi 19 3 5 11 -17 -11.9 14
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 3 4 9 -10 -5.3 13
15 Kortrijk 20 3 4 13 -29 -20.7 13
16 Eupen 19 3 2 14 -28 -26.5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Charleroi
13′
🟨 Daan Heymans
Mathieu Maertens 🟨
14′
25′
🟨 Jeremy Petris
39′
🟨 Etienne Camara
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Bager
↦ A. Dari
46′
🔁 D. Marcq
↦ N. Štulić
48′
🟨 Etienne Camara
48′
🟥 Etienne Camara
Youssef Maziz 🟨
48′
60′
🔁 V. Dragsnes
↦ I. Mbenza
T. Akimoto 🔁
↦ F. Miguel
64′
67′
🔁 Y. Badji
↦ Oday Dabbagh
J. Braut Brunes 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
83′
S. Mueanta 🔁
↦ R. Sagrado
83′
86′
🔁 A. Bernier
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
N. Nsingi 🔁
↦ N. Opoku
89′
96′
🟨 Hervé Koffi
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-1-2
1 T. Leysen G
28 E. Pletinckx D
14 F. Ricca D
18 F. Miguel D
52 R. Sagrado M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 E. Banzuzi M
7 J. Þorsteinsson M
33 M. Maertens F
88 Y. Maziz F
21 N. Opoku F
Bench (9)
30 T. Akimoto
9 J. Braut Brunes
19 S. Mueanta
43 N. Nsingi
24 F. Russo
23 J. Schingtienne
6 J. Dom
17 K. Misao
16 M. Prévot

Coach: Óscar García

Charleroi

3-5-2
16 H. Koffi G
4 J. Van Cleemput D
21 S. Andreou D
37 A. Dari D
98 J. Pétris M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
18 D. Heymans M
5 É. Camara M
7 I. Mbenza M
9 Oday Dabbagh F
19 N. Štulić F
Bench (9)
2 J. Bager
25 D. Marcq
15 V. Dragsnes
10 Y. Badji
17 A. Bernier
29 Ž. Rogelj
1 P. Patron
80 Y. Sylla
32 M. Boukamir

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,37
U ✓
3,35
B
2,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.